Analyses
Syria: the Future of the State of Uncertainty
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Op-Ed
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
Op-Ed
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
Syria: the Future of the State of Uncertainty
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
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Complications of the Gaza Ceasefire Agreement
The ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip between Hamas and Israel consists of three basic stages, which will end the war that has been waged since October 7, 2023, by graduating the ceasefire from temporary to sustainable during the stages of the agreement. This agreement comes in light of a set of major regional and international variables, which prompted the parties to agree to it.
So That All Is a “Majority” in Syria
The issue of “minorities” remains a prominent concern in Arab politics. It is a central part of discussions surrounding democracy and human rights in the Arab world, as well as the construction of a unified national identity and the civil state based upon it. Moreover, the topic of minorities is not new to Arab politics or political literature, but it vanishes and reappears depending on the different historical and political contexts that have shaped our region since the advent of modern political thought and action.
Ba’ath Regime in Syria Has Fallen. So When Do the Sanctions Fall?
The economic sanctions imposed by many countries on Syria—which are still in place—have led to restrictions on foreign trade, the freezing of Syrian assets abroad, and the prevention of necessary investments and aid for the country’s reconstruction. Therefore, lifting the sanctions on Syria remains the most crucial step in rebuilding the devastated Syrian economy, which will, in turn, serve as a foundation for establishing civil peace and coexistence, both of which will be undermined if the sanctions continue.
STRATEGIECS: A 2024 Year-End Message on the Priority of Foresight in a Complex World and a Tightly Interwoven Regional Landscape
The year 2024 has served as a testing ground to assess the accuracy of the methodologies the STRATEGIECS Institute has developed over the past years, as well as an operational platform to utilize the accumulated expertise of its team. This was particularly evident in their ability to devise results and forecast directions related to various events and issues. The results have been highly promising, both in terms of the pace of research output and the accuracy of predictions.
New Syria: A Moment with History is Here
Syrians realize the magnitude of the tremendous challenges they face and understand the dangers that threaten them. This is because the effects of a long period of tyranny cannot disappear overnight. Moreover, building nations cannot succeed through mere wishes and good intentions alone; it requires careful and well-thought-out planning, as well as extending a hand to everyone to ensure the unification of efforts and maximizing their outcomes.
Scenarios of the State and the System of Government in Post-Assad Syria
The spotlight and numerous analyses focus on the future of Syria and its system of government after the downfall of President Bashar al-Assad’s regime. Several questions are raised about the country’s political and social future, the shape of the coming Syria, and the form of its system of government. There is also speculation on how politics could be recycled to move away from internal power struggles and external interventions. Despite regional and international consensus on the need to establish stability in Syria, the risks associated with the transitional process could lead to various repercussions, particularly concerning tactical agreements between Syria’s armed and political forces.
Trump 2.0: Political Directions and Regional Changes
The administrative staff of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has been completed, particularly concerning foreign policy leaders and those responsible for the Middle East. A thorough analysis of Trump’s team offers an insightful view into the plans and positions likely to be followed during his second term, especially in relation to the region.
Scenarios of the UNIFIL Mission in Lebanon
Questions are increasing regarding the future of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), its effectiveness, and the available options for the international community to ensure its continuity or adjust its mandate. This paper addresses the possible scenarios for the fate of UNIFIL in terms of its role and presence.
War on Gaza: Israel’s Ban on UNRWA and the Challenges of Global Governance
Israel’s ban on UNRWA imposes severe humanitarian challenges on the beneficiaries of its services in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. It is considered a political and legal overstep in light of the agency’s mandate, history, and roles. Additionally, the ban highlights the issue of global governance and its ability to provide an appropriate response in an increasingly tense world, especially in terms of relief efforts and humanitarian aid.