Policy Analysis
Politics
test analyses
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
Regional Trends
Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
The Decision to Ban the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: the Hand of the Law Against Transnational Ideologies
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Trump 2.0: Political Directions and Regional Changes
The administrative staff of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has been completed, particularly concerning foreign policy leaders and those responsible for the Middle East. A thorough analysis of Trump’s team offers an insightful view into the plans and positions likely to be followed during his second term, especially in relation to the region.
A Year Since October 7: Where Did the Region Reach?
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the attacks carried out by Hamas against Israeli settlements and military bases in the Gaza envelope on October 7, 2023. The ideological framework of these attacks was based on a set of political and military foundations that shape Hamas’s vision of the conflict with Israel, as well as the tools and strategies for managing it, considering past experiences and new developments. The paper also addresses the Palestinian landscape and the trajectory of the movement before and after October 7, along with the considerations for the second year of the war.
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
The Jordanian political parties, established in less than a year, are set to compete in the upcoming parliamentary elections, where they are expected to play a pivotal role that should gradually develop in future elections. This places self-imposed pressures on the parties to keep pace with the modernization process. This paper will explore a range of policies and practices specific to the initial phase of this experience—running for office and reaching the parliament—in a way that avoids pitfalls and mistakes that could obstruct their progress.
Will Biden’s Plan Succeed in Achieving Stability in the Middle East?
U.S. President Joe Biden’s plan for stability in the Middle East sets a clear initial goal —a ceasefire—and an explicit ultimate aim: sustainable cessation of the war in Gaza. However, the path of the plan from its implementation to its completion faces several complications and contains gaps that could disrupt it.
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How the War on Gaza Changed the Dynamics of Arab Politics Towards the Region?
This analysis discusses the transformations imposed by the war on Gaza that may affect Arab policies towards the region in terms of alliances, and the impacts of such alliances on the path to reconciliation and peace, as well as the impacts on views, priorities, and regional perceptions that alter the region’s future.
Munich Security Conference 2023 and the Crossroads of the Current World Order
Policy Analysis | This analysis discusses the 59th Munich Security Conference, held against the backdrop of several paradoxes at the international level. These paradoxes include the first anniversary of the Ukrainian crisis outbreak, the escalation of tension between China and the United States, the high level of escalation between the two Koreas, and Japan's announcement of a strategic shift in its military doctrine, as well as North Korea's ballistic tests in the surrounding territorial waters of both South Korea and Japan.
Thirty-Five Years after Founding: Hamas’s Strategic Priorities in a Changing Environment
Policy Analysis | This analysis presents a diagnosis of four Hamas leaders’ speeches, delivered at the Hamas’s 35th anniversary celebrations. The analysis seeks to answer the main question: What messages did leaders’ speeches carry? What positions are they embracing concerning the main challenges and directions of Hamas future track?
The Birth of the Sixth Germany and the Turning Point in Foreign and Military Policy "Zeitenwende"
Policy Analysis | The analysis tackles the new shift in Germany's foreign policy, announced by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in his speech to the Federal Legislative Council "Bundestag" on February 27, 2022. The analysis examines the dimensions of this transformation, and its external repercussions, especially on the Middle East.
Will Al-Sudani’s Reform Project Succeed in Iraq?
Policy Analysis | This paper tackles the contents of the government program of the new Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani, his reform project, and how he seeks to achieve it at the executive, legislative, and judicial levels despite his lack of the largest parliamentary bloc.