Policy Analysis
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
The Decision to Ban the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: the Hand of the Law Against Transnational Ideologies
Global Governance and International Institutions
Trump 2.0: Political Directions and Regional Changes
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
A Year Since October 7: Where Did the Region Reach?
Humanitarian and Social Trends
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
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Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
Recent developments in Iraq indicate that the country stands on the threshold of a profound geopolitical and economic transformation. The recent elections are seen as a pivotal moment for reshaping regional power balances. With its vast oil and gas resources and its strategic location linking the Gulf to Turkey and Europe, Iraq is gradually becoming an arena for geo-economic competition among Iran, Turkey, and the Gulf–U.S. axis, as well as Western powers. While global actors race to invest in ports, corridors, and energy projects, Iraq’s future remains contingent on its ability to harness this competition to build stability and sustainable development.
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
With the launch of the second phase negotiations of U.S. President Donald Trump’s plan to achieve a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, the two-year war is entering a new stage that may bring about unexpected developments. While attention is focused on the major issues on the negotiating table, it seems that the fine details within the more complex files may prove decisive in shaping a new reality on the ground—and perhaps a political and security reality that does not align either with current expectations or the declared terms of the plan.
The Decision to Ban the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: the Hand of the Law Against Transnational Ideologies
This paper examines the Jordanian government’s decision April 23 to ban the Muslim Brotherhood group in response to growing security concerns following the discovery of affiliated cells planning to threaten Jordan’s national security. It outlines three potential post-ban scenarios: maintaining the ban solely on the group, extending it to include the Islamic Action Front party, or eradicating both entities entirely. The paper also highlights the legal and security challenges associated with each scenario.
Trump 2.0: Political Directions and Regional Changes
The administrative staff of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has been completed, particularly concerning foreign policy leaders and those responsible for the Middle East. A thorough analysis of Trump’s team offers an insightful view into the plans and positions likely to be followed during his second term, especially in relation to the region.
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A Year Since October 7: Where Did the Region Reach?
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the attacks carried out by Hamas against Israeli settlements and military bases in the Gaza envelope on October 7, 2023. The ideological framework of these attacks was based on a set of political and military foundations that shape Hamas’s vision of the conflict with Israel, as well as the tools and strategies for managing it, considering past experiences and new developments. The paper also addresses the Palestinian landscape and the trajectory of the movement before and after October 7, along with the considerations for the second year of the war.
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
The Jordanian political parties, established in less than a year, are set to compete in the upcoming parliamentary elections, where they are expected to play a pivotal role that should gradually develop in future elections. This places self-imposed pressures on the parties to keep pace with the modernization process. This paper will explore a range of policies and practices specific to the initial phase of this experience—running for office and reaching the parliament—in a way that avoids pitfalls and mistakes that could obstruct their progress.
Will Biden’s Plan Succeed in Achieving Stability in the Middle East?
U.S. President Joe Biden’s plan for stability in the Middle East sets a clear initial goal —a ceasefire—and an explicit ultimate aim: sustainable cessation of the war in Gaza. However, the path of the plan from its implementation to its completion faces several complications and contains gaps that could disrupt it.
How the War on Gaza Changed the Dynamics of Arab Politics Towards the Region?
This analysis discusses the transformations imposed by the war on Gaza that may affect Arab policies towards the region in terms of alliances, and the impacts of such alliances on the path to reconciliation and peace, as well as the impacts on views, priorities, and regional perceptions that alter the region’s future.
Munich Security Conference 2023 and the Crossroads of the Current World Order
Policy Analysis | This analysis discusses the 59th Munich Security Conference, held against the backdrop of several paradoxes at the international level. These paradoxes include the first anniversary of the Ukrainian crisis outbreak, the escalation of tension between China and the United States, the high level of escalation between the two Koreas, and Japan's announcement of a strategic shift in its military doctrine, as well as North Korea's ballistic tests in the surrounding territorial waters of both South Korea and Japan.