Arab policy
Arab policy
Will the Shifting Orientations of Iraqi Voters Decide the Upcoming Elections?
Arab policy
The Syrian Situation Between Centralization and Decentralization Options
Arab policy
My Third Message to Our Arab Shia Brothers: A Call to Reason and Reality
Arab policy
Syrian Political Consciousness in Transition: Structure and Stakes
Arab policy
The Security System in Syria: The legacy of the former regime versus the Idlib model
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The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
The transfer of power in Syria in 2024 did not achieve the desired reconciliation, as the conflict between the interim government and the Syrian Democratic Forces undermined the March 10 agreement and deepened the division over the form of the state between centralization and decentralization. The ambiguity in the agreement and the regional and international interventions, especially from Türkiye, the United States, France, Russia, and Israel, have also contributed to complicating the scene and preventing a stable settlement, which makes the future of Syria linked to the government’s ability to establish a comprehensive and binding social contract that ensures the participation of all components.

Will the Shifting Orientations of Iraqi Voters Decide the Upcoming Elections?
As the parliamentary elections draw near, electoral campaigns must be built upon the tangible progress already achieved and address the aspirations of an Iraqi society that has indeed changed—a society no longer willing to tolerate policies of denial or procrastination.

The Syrian Situation Between Centralization and Decentralization Options
The issue of centralization versus decentralization in Syria is a structural one that goes beyond intellectual debate, touching on the very essence of state reconstruction, the definition of national identity, and the form of governance. While centralization is viewed by some as a safeguard for the country’s unity, experience has shown that it has deepened marginalization and weakened political participation. Conversely, many political segments see decentralization as an entry point for comprehensive institutional reform; however, hastily adopting it could threaten stability and sovereignty, especially given the complexities of the Syrian reality.

My Third Message to Our Arab Shia Brothers: A Call to Reason and Reality
I renew the call to our Arab Shia brethren: Let your belonging rise above all else and let your loyalty be to your Arab nation—away from involvement in any partisan or external orientation. Face the present challenges with a spirit of responsibility and courage despite the successive losses that have drained and weighed heavily upon you. Reassess your path with honesty and distance yourselves from false loyalties that have brought nothing to you and your homeland but blood, destruction, and calamities.

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Syrian Political Consciousness in Transition: Structure and Stakes
Syrian political consciousness is undergoing a profound transformation following the change of the Ba’ath regime in 2024, after decades of security-driven rule and totalitarian dominance. The 2011 movement in Syria during the so-called “Arab Spring” marked a shift in collective awareness, expressing a desire for liberation and citizenship, but it collided with authoritarian responses that produced a state of repression. In the absence of a unifying national framework, trajectories vary between currents of rupture, reconciliation, and religious projects, while Syria’s future remains contingent on the society’s ability to overcome division and build a new social contract.

The Security System in Syria: The legacy of the former regime versus the Idlib model
Syria is entering a major phase of security transformation following Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham’s (HTS) rise to power in late 2024. The former security apparatuses, known for their extensive control and role in suppressing the opposition, have been dismantled. Despite talk of security reforms under the new government, there are concerns about the re-emergence of a centralized security authority that prioritizes regime protection at the expense of citizens’ rights, especially in light of weak oversight and the lack of genuine integration of all military factions inside Syria into the country’s new General Security Agency.

Rebuilding the Syrian Army: Potentials, Challenges, and Risks
The process of rebuilding the Syrian army after the fall of the Assad regime faces structural and political challenges that hinder the formation of a unified national military institution. The current Syrian military landscape suffers from deep divisions, along with concerns about the ideological identity of the emerging army and its impact on internal cohesion and international stance. Moreover, there is limited representation of Syria’s diverse components within its structure. Therefore, the success of rebuilding the Syrian army depends on its ability to represent the diverse Syrian society and on the presence of international support conditioned by accountability and transparency.

Does the Arab Reconstruction Plan Overcome Its Operational Challenges?
The reconstruction plan is being developed in coordination between Egypt and various Arab countries, with its details expected to be presented at the Arab Summit in Cairo. In response to U.S. President Donald Trump’s stance on the displacement of Palestinians, Arab countries have moved swiftly to propose a more logical and realistic alternative plan.

The Second Arab-Islamic Summit: Timing and Contextual Implications
The second Arab-Islamic summit reaffirmed the call for an immediate halt to the wars in Gaza and Lebanon, urging an end to their disastrous humanitarian impact on civilians. The summit also emphasized the need for continued coordination with the international community to put an end to Israel’s violations of international law and international humanitarian law, while warning of the grave risks associated with the escalation of the conflict and its regional and international ramifications.