Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Foreign Fighters File in Syria: Between Entitlement and Risk
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
The Decision to Ban the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: the Hand of the Law Against Transnational Ideologies
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Wadi al-Kabir Attack: The Event Indicators and the Symbolism of Place
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
How Can the Attacks on Crocus be Interpreted?
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Will ISIS Succeed in Hijacking Syria from the Transitional Government?
Since the fall of the previous regime in December 2024, ISIS has been taking advantage of the fragility of the Syrian transitional authority and the overlapping structure of its various factions with a renewed surge in activity. Despite intensified international strikes against it, ISIS has managed to carry out sophisticated attacks reposition itself amid the complex political and security challenges facing the interim government. The situation is further complicated by the emergence of even more extremist groups and the erosion of boundaries between regular forces and armed extremists. Meanwhile, the international community’s support for the new government is tied to its seriousness in combating terrorism and extremism—thus placing a structural challenge on the government’s security institutions and internal alliances.
Foreign Fighters File in Syria: Between Entitlement and Risk
This paper addresses the complex situation of the foreign fighter file in Syria following the change of the former regime. It details their composition, explores the long-term challenges and risks arising from their integration into the new Syrian army, their leadership roles, and the implications of this both locally and internationally. It also touches on the issue of thousands of foreign fighters from ISIS who are currently detained. Lastly, the paper reviews future scenarios for these fighters, whether those integrated into the new state structures or the ISIS detainees held by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).
The Decision to Ban the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: the Hand of the Law Against Transnational Ideologies
This paper examines the Jordanian government’s decision April 23 to ban the Muslim Brotherhood group in response to growing security concerns following the discovery of affiliated cells planning to threaten Jordan’s national security. It outlines three potential post-ban scenarios: maintaining the ban solely on the group, extending it to include the Islamic Action Front party, or eradicating both entities entirely. The paper also highlights the legal and security challenges associated with each scenario.
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
This story documents firsthand testimonies from individuals within Sudan who are well-informed about the increasing Iranian influence in their country. We refer to them as "Al-Hajj," "The General," and "The Diplomat" to protect their identities and ensure their safety. These individuals unanimously expressed concerns in their testimonies about the dangers of Iranian influence on their country's future stability, the prospects for a ceasefire between the conflicting parties, and the risks this growing influence poses to regional security in the Middle East and Africa, in a way that cannot be ignored.
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Wadi al-Kabir Attack: The Event Indicators and the Symbolism of Place
This position assessment addresses the terrorist attack on a mosque in the capital city of Muscat in the Wadi al-Kabir region, covering the implications related to the choice of location and its symbolism, the perpetrators’ identities, their motives, and the future repercussions of the attack.
How Can the Attacks on Crocus be Interpreted?
This position assessment discusses the attacks that targeted the Crocus City Hall in Russia, along with the controversy surrounding the party responsible for them. The accusations range from Russia blaming the West to the terrorist organization “ISIS” claiming responsibility.
Al-Qaeda Post-Zawahiri: Structure, Crisis, and Future
Position Assessment| This article seeks to extrapolate the fate of al-Qaeda after the demise of its leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri. Such exploration analyzes the reality of al-Qaeda at its structural and operational levels; the crises it is suffering; and the future of al-Qaeda as well as its branches, and the prospects for change in al-Qaeda’s ideological discourses, network of relations, and positions on the ground.
The “Decapitation” Strategy, Impact and Effectiveness: Al-Aqal and Al-Zawahiri as a Model
Policy analysis| This analysis examines one of the most prominent strategies in the context of counterterrorism, known as the "hard hammer" or "Decapitation" by the leaders of terrorist groups. As well as the historical development and the effectiveness of this strategy in creating, leadership gaps within terrorist organizations, and crises in choosing a successor, where such crises reached the point of divisions and defections. This analysis, then, addresses the decline and end of those organizations.
The impact of the rise of the Taliban in Afghanistan on the terrorism issue in Jordan
Expert Saud Al-Sharafat examines the impact of the rise of the Taliban movement and its control of Afghanistan on terrorism and extremist groups in Jordan, as well as the security risks associated with them, using a broad and in-depth analysis