Regional Trends
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Regional Trends
The Arab Stance Amid Regional Variables
Regional Trends
How the B-2 Stealth Bomber Changed the Course of U.S.–Iran Negotiations
Regional Trends
Israel and Southern Syria: Limits of Power and Parameters of Settlement in Suwayda
Regional Trends
Using the Heimlich Maneuver to Shift the Regional Security Landscape
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Nasrallah’s Assassination Puts Hezbollah and the Unification of the arenas in a Critical Moment
The assassination of Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah puts the movement in a critical moment, exacerbating the damage to its military structure. This raises questions about Hezbollah’s position in confrontation with Israel, the Iranian approach toward its most important allies, and the stance of the other parties in the “Unification of the arenas.”
Intelligence Superiority Places the Escalation Between Israel and Hezbollah at a Turning Point
Israeli information and intelligence superiority has contributed to its deadly aim in striking several strategic targets of the Hezbollah Movement, both at its leadership and infrastructure. This paper seeks to analyze the Israeli strategy towards Hezbollah before and after the war in Gaza, which has significantly weakened the Movement’s capabilities and hindered its ability to respond proportionately and escalate in return.
Regional Powers Must Uphold Their Historical Responsibility to Achieve Stability in the Middle East
An opinion piece by Palestinian diplomat and former ambassador, Nabil Maaruf, proposes a new initiative to improve stability in the Middle East, neutralize conflicts arising from international interventions, and radically increasing the region’s low weight in the international system of power. His perspective on the Middle East initiative is based on the transformations that Europe underwent during its dark ages.
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
The visit of Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian to Iraq raises several questions about the future of Iraqi-Iranian relations. Will Iraq be facing fundamental and decisive changes? An analysis of the factors and variables, however, suggests that changes in Iraq will not affect its political or security relations with Iran. The relationship between the two countries is deeply intertwined and transcends political changes and internal or external conditions.
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Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
The Iranian president’s ability to implement new programs is limited considering the failed efforts of the three previous reformist presidents. None of them managed to bring about significant changes in Iran’s domestic and foreign policies. Moreover, it is likely that Pezeshkian agenda will face strong opposition from the conservatives who dominate the parliament and the Assembly of Experts after their victory in the March 2024 elections.
Ultimate Test of Deterrence: The Israeli Assassinations of Two Axis of Resistance Leaders
The assassination of Fouad Shukr and Ismail Haniyeh put the region in extraordinary circumstances, with the Axis of Resistance acknowledging the significance of the two murders and its members threat to retaliate. Consequently, the region should expect four impending retaliatory attacks from Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.
Turkey and Syria Inching Closer Toward Resuming Good Relations
Turkish-Syrian relations have entered a fresh phase of discussion initiatives, but the path of rapprochement between them is not new. Its manifestations have been apparent since 2022. But now the resumption of relations between the two counties has become a significant objective for Russia.
Houthi Escalation Amid Growing Iranian Interest in the Mediterranean
Iran is attempting to encourage its allies to increase their activity in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, Iranian perceptions of their ability to operate and exert influence in the region face several constraints and complexities. These include geographical factors, military capabilities, and the inability to control escalation and its repercussions.
Escalation Development Paths Between Hezbollah and Israel
The escalation between Hezbollah and Israel raises a question about the future of confrontation between the two parties according to paths determined by the data of the two parties and circumstances surrounding the war in general, and among options for further escalation, containment, or diplomatic settlement.