Regional Trends
Regional Trends
Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Regional Trends
The Arab Stance Amid Regional Variables
Regional Trends
How the B-2 Stealth Bomber Changed the Course of U.S.–Iran Negotiations
Regional Trends
Israel and Southern Syria: Limits of Power and Parameters of Settlement in Suwayda
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What Does the Iranian Supreme Leader’s Announcement of Conditional Pardons Indicate?
On February 5, 2023, Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issued a conditional pardon. According to a statement published on the Supreme Leader’s website
Syrian-Turkish Rapprochement And Geopolitical Scenarios In Northern Syria
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the features of the Syrian-Turkish rapprochement at the intelligence and military levels, and seeks to estimate the transformations in northern Syria by answering the following questions: What are the changes that will take place regarding the military movements in Idlib and the areas of Turkish influence in northern Syria? What is the nature of the changes to the influence of the Kurdish movements in northeast Syria? What are the main challenges that could face the trilateral track between Ankara, Moscow, and Damascus in northern Syria?
Baghdad Conference for Cooperation and Partnership 2022: An Important Step in a Long Road
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the Baghdad Conference for Cooperation and Partnership held in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan on December 20, 2022, as an extension of its first session held in the Iraqi capital in August 2021 to address regional and international changes in 2022.
Insights into the Motivation and Causes Fueling Iran’s Continued Protests
Policy Analysis | This paper examines the economic, social, and geopolitical dimensions of the ongoing Iranian protests since the death of young Mahsa Amini that are likely to play a major role in the spread and continuation of the protests.
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How the Supreme Leader’s Illness Affect the Iranian Regime during the Protests?
Policy Analysis | This analysis tackles the challenges that are facing the Iranian regime, in light of reports which said that Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, has a "serious" disease, at the time the protests in several Iranian cities intensify as days pass. The paper examines the role of the Supreme Leader, and how his death may affect in light of the country's unfavourable major events.
The Fate of Iran’s Role in Iraq According the Current Political Scene
Policy Analysis | This analysis addresses with the nature of Iran’s role in Iraq, in light of the current political situation. The analysis tackles the nature and priorities of Iranian strategies in Iraq, the way in which it manages the Shia-Shia conflict, also how Iran views the political scene in Iraq after selecting the President of the Republic and the forming the government, and the reflection of this in general on the future of Iran’s role in Iraq.
The Federal Court Ruling Places Iraq Before Open Scenarios
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the consequences of the political crisis in Iraq, in light of what can be described as the persistence of the crisis parties on their positions and demands, regardless of what will be the decision of the Federal Court regarding the dissolution of the current parliament, holding of new elections, or remaining neutral under the pretext of no competence.
Al-Sadr Retirement: Crawling from the Dome to the Palace
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the dimensions and underlying reasons that prompted Iraqi leader Muqtada al-Sadr to retire from the political life. Several stages preceded the decision, starting with the withdrawal of his deputies from parliament, then the sit-in in front of the Supreme Judicial Council, and ending with his supporters storming the Republican Palace after to the announcement of his retirement.
Where would the Lebanese-Israeli Maritime Conflict Lead to?
This paper estimates the legal position of the maritime border dispute between Lebanon and Israel, which is related to the right to use the resources in the disputed waters. This paper also considers to the possible scenarios of this conflict, in accordance with domestic and external considerations, within which Lebanon and Israel are taking their moves.