Regional Trends
Regional Trends
Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Regional Trends
The Arab Stance Amid Regional Variables
Regional Trends
How the B-2 Stealth Bomber Changed the Course of U.S.–Iran Negotiations
Regional Trends
Israel and Southern Syria: Limits of Power and Parameters of Settlement in Suwayda
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The United States: The De-Escalation Efforts and the Prospects of Escalation in the Middle East
Policy Analysis: This paper discusses the United States policy and pillars towards the war in the Gaza Strip, and the U.S. position on the secondary arenas of escalation. It also presents a new idea about the signs of independence of those arenas in terms of their goals and objectives from the main arena of war in the Gaza Strip, the matter that poses new challenges for the United States in pursuing unified policies.
How the War on Gaza Changed the Dynamics of Arab Politics Towards the Region?
This analysis discusses the transformations imposed by the war on Gaza that may affect Arab policies towards the region in terms of alliances, and the impacts of such alliances on the path to reconciliation and peace, as well as the impacts on views, priorities, and regional perceptions that alter the region’s future.
The Unification of the arenas: Strategy Tracks in the War Between Hamas and Israel
The position of Iran and its allies has been in flux. At times, they issue rhetorical threats through the media; at other times, they exercise tactical restraint. However, Iran and all elements within the so-called “Axis of Resistance” coalition are directly involved in the ongoing conflict in Gaza. This paper aims to explore the Axis’s stance on the ongoing war and the potential ways in which the coalition might engage in it.
American Military Movements on the Borders of Iraq and Syria: A Preventive Buildup or a Complex Military Operation?
An assessment of the situation: Addressing the United States’ reinforcement of its military presence in the Middle East by sending more military equipment and soldiers, as well as the military movements of American battalions in Iraq and Syria. These movements raise questions about the “Biden Doctrine,” especially with the possibility that a military operation in the near future might be launched pursuant to a U.S. plan.
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Could Hezbollah’s Tents Lead to a Military Escalation with Israel?
This position paper addresses the issue of Hezbollah’s tents in Shebaa Farms, and the questions raised about the concept of Mutual Deterrence between Hezbollah and Israel. The paper also discusses Hezbollah’s pursuit of a set of goals that intersect with Iranian political and security considerations, as well as with Lebanese domestic circumstances.
Can Regional Dynamics Bring a Breakthrough to the Yemeni Crisis?
Position Assessment: This paper explores the international and regional attention towards the Sultanate of Oman’s role in resolving the Yemeni crisis and leading the notable progress it has made. This raises important questions Can Oman’s mediation efforts lead to a stable settlement of the Yemeni crisis? Alternatively, could any agreements reached be temporary compromises that are susceptible to collapse during the first test or tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran?
Alliances and Scenarios: Interpreting the Turkish 2023 Elections
Position Assessment | This assessment discusses the upcoming general elections in Turkey, which are scheduled to take place in mid-May, amidst domestic challenges that have created a complex electoral scene and increased polarization between political forces. The assessment identifies several scenarios regarding the potential outcomes of the upcoming electoral process.
The Regional Situation Following the Restoration of Saudi-Iranian Relations
Policy Analysis | This analysis addresses the announcement of the restoration of Saudi-Iranian relations, sponsored by China, with an emphasis on the underlying motivations of both nations. Additionally, the analysis evaluates the impact of this announcement on the regional situation and its influence on a range of issues in the region.
The Jordanian Initiative: Opportunities to Establish Security in Southern Syria
Policy Analysis | This analysis examines Jordan’s efforts to mobilize international support and an Arab consensus to reach a political solution to the Syrian crisis. The aim is to reduce security threats along Jordan’s northern and eastern borders and strengthen the active Arab role in the Syrian crisis in the face of Iranian influence in the country.