Regional Trends
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Regional Trends
The Arab Stance Amid Regional Variables
Regional Trends
How the B-2 Stealth Bomber Changed the Course of U.S.–Iran Negotiations
Regional Trends
Israel and Southern Syria: Limits of Power and Parameters of Settlement in Suwayda
Regional Trends
Using the Heimlich Maneuver to Shift the Regional Security Landscape
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Scenarios for the Next Step Following U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
The regional balance of power shifted with the direct entry of the United States into the military confrontation with Iran when it launched a precision airstrike on June 22, 2025 that targeted key nuclear installations. It pushes Iran to a critical crossroads: either contain the escalation or move toward a full-scale confrontation amid rising regional tensions and growing fears of a multi-front war.
Pakistan’s Approach to the Israeli Military Operation Against Iran
The Pakistani stance toward the Israeli attacks on Iranian capabilities reveals a delicate balance between its political and diplomatic support for Iran and its hesitation to engage in direct military involvement. This caution stems from internal security complexities and regional geopolitical sensitivities. While Pakistan’s rhetoric reflects a rare escalation in relations between the two countries, it remains limited due to concerns over the potential rise in sectarian violence and the challenges posed by militant groups within Pakistan. As a result, Islamabad’s position remains cautious and balanced amid the repercussions of the war in Gaza and its strategic overlap with the Eastern axis.
The Paths of the Israeli Military Operation against Iranian Capabilities
The Israeli attacks targeting Iran’s military command structure and its defensive and offensive capabilities place the upcoming developments within a framework of several trends and trajectories. These can be outlined based on the overall events that have unfolded in the region and among Iran’s proxies since the outbreak of the war in the Gaza Strip. Additionally, the scale of the strikes suggests that they were not a passing event or merely a pressure tactic against Iran, but rather primarily aimed at consolidating the regional landscape and post-war order.
The Weapons of the Lebanese Hezbollah in the Post-War Reality
Lebanon is witnessing profound transformations resulting from the repercussions of the Gaza conflict, which has inflicted damage on Iran’s axis in the region, including Hezbollah. It seems that there is a shared understanding among the Lebanese, as well as regional and international actors, of the need to seize the moment to dismantle Hezbollah’s remaining weapons. In turn, Hezbollah feels compelled to make significant strategic concessions to preserve its political activities.
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Washington and Tehran: A First Round of Semi-Direct Negotiations
By entering negotiations with the United States, Iran seeks to preserve its territorial integrity, maintain its political system, and avoid a potential U.S.-Israeli military strike on its nuclear facilities. However, it may also be trying to buy time in pursuit of long-term negotiations that could lead to both internal and external recovery, while also diffusing the momentum of military build-up and hostile intentions against it.
The U.S. Military Strikes Against the Houthis: The End of One War or the Beginning of Another?
The American military strikes against the Houthis come in light of the ongoing developments in the war in Gaza and the Houthis’ indirect role in it. These strikes coincide with the return of the “maximum pressure” policy against Iran, which U.S. President Donald Trump introduced during his first administration. The strikes aim not only to separate the Houthis from the main war arena in the Gaza Strip but to also separate them from Iran.
Scenarios of the UNIFIL Mission in Lebanon
Questions are increasing regarding the future of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), its effectiveness, and the available options for the international community to ensure its continuity or adjust its mandate. This paper addresses the possible scenarios for the fate of UNIFIL in terms of its role and presence.
The Trajectories of the Israeli Ground Operation in Lebanon
The Israeli ground operation in southern Lebanon is shrouded in ambiguity from both sides. There is a lack of clarity regarding Israel’s objectives, the intended stopping point of its advance, and the next steps in the operation. Additionally, there are uncertainties about the latent capabilities that Hezbollah might employ to increase the costs of this incursion.
Scenarios for Israel’s Anticipated Strike on Iran
The world today is preoccupied with the anticipated Israeli response to recent Iranian attacks, which is expected to be disproportionate and comes with unexpected repercussions, especially after Israel put its response in the frame of strategic objectives.