Situation Assessment
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
International and Global Trends
Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The Outcomes of the Doha Emergency Summit and the Missed Arab Opportunity
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The American-Israeli Proposal and the Shift Towards a Unilateral Path in the Gaza Strip
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Will ISIS Succeed in Hijacking Syria from the Transitional Government?
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Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
The Iranian president’s ability to implement new programs is limited considering the failed efforts of the three previous reformist presidents. None of them managed to bring about significant changes in Iran’s domestic and foreign policies. Moreover, it is likely that Pezeshkian agenda will face strong opposition from the conservatives who dominate the parliament and the Assembly of Experts after their victory in the March 2024 elections.
What Are the Chances of Success for the New Round of Negotiations to End the War in the Gaza Strip?
The chances of success for the new round of negotiations to end the war in Gaza do not seem very high, at least when it comes to reaching a comprehensive agreement. However, the American insistence on continuing the negotiations, along with the seriousness of the Egyptian and Qatari mediators, may push the warring parties towards an agreement on a temporary humanitarian ceasefire.
The Rafah Crossing: Who Will Control It and Why It’s Important
The Rafah border crossing gains its significance on the world stage from being the only gateway into and out of the Gaza Strip for both its citizens and the delivery of life-saving goods and humanitarian aid. This paper presents future scenarios for the management of the crossing, which could be an issue with the arrangements for the day after the war or what may be proposed for implementation beforehand that will serve as a prelude to the future management structure of the Gaza Strip.
The Local and Regional Landscape After Hasina’s Resignation in Bangladesh
It’s too early to judge whether stability has been achieved in Bangladesh and whether a new political system has been established following Sheikh Hasina’s resignation and the formation of a temporary government. Moreover, predicting the decline of the parties from the previous phase seems unlikely, especially the Awami League, which has governed the country since the 1970s.
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Ultimate Test of Deterrence: The Israeli Assassinations of Two Axis of Resistance Leaders
The assassination of Fouad Shukr and Ismail Haniyeh put the region in extraordinary circumstances, with the Axis of Resistance acknowledging the significance of the two murders and its members threat to retaliate. Consequently, the region should expect four impending retaliatory attacks from Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.
Palestinian Rights: Israel Versus the World
The International Court of Justice’s advisory opinion on the illegality of the Israeli presence in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967 provides a foundation for the growing political and legal movement within the international community regarding the Palestinian cause. However, it also faces challenges due to Israeli action and divisions within the Palestinian arena.
Wadi al-Kabir Attack: The Event Indicators and the Symbolism of Place
This position assessment addresses the terrorist attack on a mosque in the capital city of Muscat in the Wadi al-Kabir region, covering the implications related to the choice of location and its symbolism, the perpetrators’ identities, their motives, and the future repercussions of the attack.
Turkey and Syria Inching Closer Toward Resuming Good Relations
Turkish-Syrian relations have entered a fresh phase of discussion initiatives, but the path of rapprochement between them is not new. Its manifestations have been apparent since 2022. But now the resumption of relations between the two counties has become a significant objective for Russia.
Houthi Escalation Amid Growing Iranian Interest in the Mediterranean
Iran is attempting to encourage its allies to increase their activity in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, Iranian perceptions of their ability to operate and exert influence in the region face several constraints and complexities. These include geographical factors, military capabilities, and the inability to control escalation and its repercussions.