Analyses
Politics
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Politics
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Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
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Features of Gulf Security in Light of a New Strategic Environment
The manifestations of the new geo-security field of the Gulf are reflected in the activity of its states over the Arabian Sea, the Mediterranean Sea, and the Red Sea, reflecting deep changes in the notions of geopolitics in relation to the vital and security interests of Gulf states. Therefore, this paper attempts to answer a basic question related to the new prospects and features of Gulf security in light of the new strategic environment, which links Gulf security to something broader.
Saudi-Iranian Talks: A Step on a Long Road
Relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran continue to receive substantial attention given the impact of this event on the regional and international levels. In light of this, this paper attempts to read the talks from the viewpoint of possible incentives and variables and how they might affect hotbeds of tension and conflict in the region, as well as predicting their outcome.
Iran's Attempts to Mend Relations with Jordan: Messages and Variables
The recent Iranian moves in the course of rapprochement with Jordan, call for the assumption that a remarkable development may be witnessed in these relations, driven by several variables and a conciliatory regional climate. Therefore, this paper discusses the motivations for reviving relations, as well as the challenges they face.
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Jordan and Syria: A Cautious Rapprochement Maneuver
As military and government officials from the two neighboring countries met at high levels in Amman, Jordan-Syria relations are showing signs of cooling off the dispute factors between the two countries. This communication reached a political and leadership level with a phone call between King Abdullah II and President Bashar al-Assad. The following analytical reading reviews the most important outstanding issues between the two sides, and provides a diagnosis of the most prominent obstacles which the course of Jordanian-Syrian interactions may encounter.
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From Jordan Begins the End of Syria's Isolation
There has been no clear international or regional attempt to deal with the Syrian crisis. Therefore a new strategy based on self-interest became necessary to bring everyone down back to reality and to break the ice that has been building up on the road to Damascus for ten years. And no other country in the region has the capabilities, qualifications, and advantages needed to take up this thorny task as Jordan does.
The Impact of Taliban's Rise on Jordan, Syria, and Iraq
The Taliban's seizure of control over Afghanistan raises several concerns in light of the impact it may have on other armed movements and groups, in a way that may restore hope and confidence in the ranks of many such groups, to return to their activities taking after the example of Taliban. Hence, this paper examines the repercussions of the rise of the Taliban on terrorist groups in Syria and Iraq, as well as its impact on Jordan.
What if Peace Brought Since Oslo?
‘What if peace had really been brought since the Oslo Accords?’ It is the question that reflects the hope in a peace between Palestinians and Israelis— a peace which, if it came true, would have closed the door on the significant losses of life and economy and opened another to great opportunities. The following article is a call for saving time and seeking safe and well-off life for future generations.
US Retreat from the Middle East and the Future of Global Leadership
One after another, US leaders bring the academic and intellectual community into a state of uncertainty when seeking to approach their global slogans about the US return to world leadership, coinciding with consensus on the apparent state of exhaustion as a result of the intervention in the Middle East, and amid calls and promises to withdraw from the region that is of great strategic and geopolitical weight. Thereupon, the following article examines the premise that the US retreat from the Middle East ends any chance of leading the world and threatens the pillars of the post-Cold War world order.
Hybrid Warfare and Bets of Victory and Defeat
The following article reviews the reality of the hybrid war between Israel and the Palestinian armed factions, taking the recent war in the Gaza Strip as an example, to demonstrate the importance of political dimensions as a long-term goal, and to highlight the economic and military damage suffered by the two parties as a secondary goal through which changes and the development of tools and deterrence in such a type of war are measured. The article relies on the findings of the literature and theories that dealt with these wars in their scientific and academic form based on objectivity.