Analyses
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
International and Global Trends
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
International and Global Trends
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
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A Year Since October 7: Where Did the Region Reach?
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the attacks carried out by Hamas against Israeli settlements and military bases in the Gaza envelope on October 7, 2023. The ideological framework of these attacks was based on a set of political and military foundations that shape Hamas’s vision of the conflict with Israel, as well as the tools and strategies for managing it, considering past experiences and new developments. The paper also addresses the Palestinian landscape and the trajectory of the movement before and after October 7, along with the considerations for the second year of the war.

A Call to Arab Countries: Support Our Shia Brothers’ Return to Their Arab Identity!
This article urges Arab countries to take the initiative in Lebanese affairs and work towards ending the war, protecting Lebanese civilians, and preventing Iran from using the Lebanese Shiite community as a pawn in its conflicts under the guise of historical grievances. To achieve this, Arab countries must intensify their moral, scientific, political, and economic support for the Lebanese people, especially the Shiite community, whose members are suffering the most due to the ongoing war.

Scenarios for Israel’s Anticipated Strike on Iran
The world today is preoccupied with the anticipated Israeli response to recent Iranian attacks, which is expected to be disproportionate and comes with unexpected repercussions, especially after Israel put its response in the frame of strategic objectives.

Regional Powers Must Uphold Their Historical Responsibility to Achieve Stability in the Middle East
An opinion piece by Palestinian diplomat and former ambassador, Nabil Maaruf, proposes a new initiative to improve stability in the Middle East, neutralize conflicts arising from international interventions, and radically increasing the region’s low weight in the international system of power. His perspective on the Middle East initiative is based on the transformations that Europe underwent during its dark ages.

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What Are the Chances of Success for the New Round of Negotiations to End the War in the Gaza Strip?
The chances of success for the new round of negotiations to end the war in Gaza do not seem very high, at least when it comes to reaching a comprehensive agreement. However, the American insistence on continuing the negotiations, along with the seriousness of the Egyptian and Qatari mediators, may push the warring parties towards an agreement on a temporary humanitarian ceasefire.

The Rafah Crossing: Who Will Control It and Why It’s Important
The Rafah border crossing gains its significance on the world stage from being the only gateway into and out of the Gaza Strip for both its citizens and the delivery of life-saving goods and humanitarian aid. This paper presents future scenarios for the management of the crossing, which could be an issue with the arrangements for the day after the war or what may be proposed for implementation beforehand that will serve as a prelude to the future management structure of the Gaza Strip.

Ultimate Test of Deterrence: The Israeli Assassinations of Two Axis of Resistance Leaders
The assassination of Fouad Shukr and Ismail Haniyeh put the region in extraordinary circumstances, with the Axis of Resistance acknowledging the significance of the two murders and its members threat to retaliate. Consequently, the region should expect four impending retaliatory attacks from Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.

Houthi Escalation Amid Growing Iranian Interest in the Mediterranean
Iran is attempting to encourage its allies to increase their activity in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, Iranian perceptions of their ability to operate and exert influence in the region face several constraints and complexities. These include geographical factors, military capabilities, and the inability to control escalation and its repercussions.

Will Biden’s Plan Succeed in Achieving Stability in the Middle East?
U.S. President Joe Biden’s plan for stability in the Middle East sets a clear initial goal —a ceasefire—and an explicit ultimate aim: sustainable cessation of the war in Gaza. However, the path of the plan from its implementation to its completion faces several complications and contains gaps that could disrupt it.
