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Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
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A Year Since October 7: Where Did the Region Reach?
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the attacks carried out by Hamas against Israeli settlements and military bases in the Gaza envelope on October 7, 2023. The ideological framework of these attacks was based on a set of political and military foundations that shape Hamas’s vision of the conflict with Israel, as well as the tools and strategies for managing it, considering past experiences and new developments. The paper also addresses the Palestinian landscape and the trajectory of the movement before and after October 7, along with the considerations for the second year of the war.
A Call to Arab Countries: Support Our Shia Brothers’ Return to Their Arab Identity!
This article urges Arab countries to take the initiative in Lebanese affairs and work towards ending the war, protecting Lebanese civilians, and preventing Iran from using the Lebanese Shiite community as a pawn in its conflicts under the guise of historical grievances. To achieve this, Arab countries must intensify their moral, scientific, political, and economic support for the Lebanese people, especially the Shiite community, whose members are suffering the most due to the ongoing war.
Scenarios for Israel’s Anticipated Strike on Iran
The world today is preoccupied with the anticipated Israeli response to recent Iranian attacks, which is expected to be disproportionate and comes with unexpected repercussions, especially after Israel put its response in the frame of strategic objectives.
The Iranian Attack Against Israel: Strike and Counter-Strike
The turning point between Israeli-Iranian relations is linked to the repercussions of the attack. Iran continues expressing its desire to prevent the war from expanding, but the potential Israeli response will be a decisive factor in shaping the upcoming regional landscape.
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Regional Powers Must Uphold Their Historical Responsibility to Achieve Stability in the Middle East
An opinion piece by Palestinian diplomat and former ambassador, Nabil Maaruf, proposes a new initiative to improve stability in the Middle East, neutralize conflicts arising from international interventions, and radically increasing the region’s low weight in the international system of power. His perspective on the Middle East initiative is based on the transformations that Europe underwent during its dark ages.
The Allenby Incident Is Containable but Signals a Continuation of Tension
Repercussions are likely to remain limited on both the security and political levels, as well as on Jordanian-Israeli relations despite its context amid the war in Gaza, the escalation in the West Bank
What Are the Chances of Success for the New Round of Negotiations to End the War in the Gaza Strip?
The chances of success for the new round of negotiations to end the war in Gaza do not seem very high, at least when it comes to reaching a comprehensive agreement. However, the American insistence on continuing the negotiations, along with the seriousness of the Egyptian and Qatari mediators, may push the warring parties towards an agreement on a temporary humanitarian ceasefire.
The Rafah Crossing: Who Will Control It and Why It’s Important
The Rafah border crossing gains its significance on the world stage from being the only gateway into and out of the Gaza Strip for both its citizens and the delivery of life-saving goods and humanitarian aid. This paper presents future scenarios for the management of the crossing, which could be an issue with the arrangements for the day after the war or what may be proposed for implementation beforehand that will serve as a prelude to the future management structure of the Gaza Strip.
Is the Tripartite Declaration the Last Opportunity to Stop the War?
The tripartite statement reflects the desire of the United States, the international community, and Arab states to halt the war in Gaza and to mitigate the risks of continued escalation on secondary fronts, which increasingly threatens to expand and intensify.