Analyses
Syria: the Future of the State of Uncertainty
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Op-Ed
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
Op-Ed
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
Syria: the Future of the State of Uncertainty
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
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Trump’s Gulf Tour and the Intersection of Regional and International Files
U.S. President Donald Trump departed for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia on his first official foreign visit. His trip to the Gulf countries comes at a critical time in which the impact of regional changes intersects with the priorities of American policy. The visit highlights Gulf-American cooperation on vital issues such as Iranian policy, the Palestinian cause, and Arab-Israeli relations. Gulf countries are taking a leading role as key supporters of peace efforts, while Trump aims to focus on de-escalating conflicts and reducing the American military footprint in the region.
India-Pakistan Escalation Scenarios
India and Pakistan stand on the brink of a new military confrontation following an armed attack in Kashmir that triggered a series of reciprocal retaliatory measures. The crisis has now escalated beyond a regional conflict, becoming entangled in the broader international rivalry between the United States and China. New Delhi is strategically aligned with Washington, while Islamabad remains a key partner of Beijing. As a result, India and Pakistan face two options: either wage a war of attrition that threatens regional stability or engage in a limited military escalation that leads to a temporary truce.
Washington and Tehran: A First Round of Semi-Direct Negotiations
By entering negotiations with the United States, Iran seeks to preserve its territorial integrity, maintain its political system, and avoid a potential U.S.-Israeli military strike on its nuclear facilities. However, it may also be trying to buy time in pursuit of long-term negotiations that could lead to both internal and external recovery, while also diffusing the momentum of military build-up and hostile intentions against it.
Trump 2.0: Political Directions and Regional Changes
The administrative staff of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has been completed, particularly concerning foreign policy leaders and those responsible for the Middle East. A thorough analysis of Trump’s team offers an insightful view into the plans and positions likely to be followed during his second term, especially in relation to the region.
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
This story documents firsthand testimonies from individuals within Sudan who are well-informed about the increasing Iranian influence in their country. We refer to them as "Al-Hajj," "The General," and "The Diplomat" to protect their identities and ensure their safety. These individuals unanimously expressed concerns in their testimonies about the dangers of Iranian influence on their country's future stability, the prospects for a ceasefire between the conflicting parties, and the risks this growing influence poses to regional security in the Middle East and Africa, in a way that cannot be ignored.
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
The visit of Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian to Iraq raises several questions about the future of Iraqi-Iranian relations. Will Iraq be facing fundamental and decisive changes? An analysis of the factors and variables, however, suggests that changes in Iraq will not affect its political or security relations with Iran. The relationship between the two countries is deeply intertwined and transcends political changes and internal or external conditions.
The Local and Regional Landscape After Hasina’s Resignation in Bangladesh
It’s too early to judge whether stability has been achieved in Bangladesh and whether a new political system has been established following Sheikh Hasina’s resignation and the formation of a temporary government. Moreover, predicting the decline of the parties from the previous phase seems unlikely, especially the Awami League, which has governed the country since the 1970s.
Ultimate Test of Deterrence: The Israeli Assassinations of Two Axis of Resistance Leaders
The assassination of Fouad Shukr and Ismail Haniyeh put the region in extraordinary circumstances, with the Axis of Resistance acknowledging the significance of the two murders and its members threat to retaliate. Consequently, the region should expect four impending retaliatory attacks from Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.
Turkey and Syria Inching Closer Toward Resuming Good Relations
Turkish-Syrian relations have entered a fresh phase of discussion initiatives, but the path of rapprochement between them is not new. Its manifestations have been apparent since 2022. But now the resumption of relations between the two counties has become a significant objective for Russia.