Situation Assessment
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
International and Global Trends
Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The Outcomes of the Doha Emergency Summit and the Missed Arab Opportunity
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The American-Israeli Proposal and the Shift Towards a Unilateral Path in the Gaza Strip
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Will ISIS Succeed in Hijacking Syria from the Transitional Government?
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Why Has the Iran-Israel Conflict Moved to Direct Confrontation?
In the context of the Gaza conflict, Israel, guided by the “Octopus Doctrine” formulated in 2018, has dealt with the perils and challenges posed by the “Unity of Arenas”. The Israeli doctrine serves to intensify the pressures exerted on Iran, instead of engaging with a broad range of armed factions. The underlying premise of Israel’s strategy, as dictated by this Doctrine, is to compel Iran to put pressure on its proxies to cease their escalation against Israel. Concurrently, this Doctrine aims to diminish the strategic value these factions perceived by the Iranian mentality, given their role as the forward defense line of Iran’s territories.
How Can the Attacks on Crocus be Interpreted?
This position assessment discusses the attacks that targeted the Crocus City Hall in Russia, along with the controversy surrounding the party responsible for them. The accusations range from Russia blaming the West to the terrorist organization “ISIS” claiming responsibility.
How Will the Palestinian Government Establish New Roles for Power in the West Bank and Gaza?
Situation Assessment: The appointment of Mohammad Mostafa to form a Palestinian government and the challenges it will face in the regional and international arena while achieving its objectives in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, as well as the requirements necessary for the government to achieve its objectives, is addressed.
U.S. Pier in Gaza and the Chances of Successful Delivery of Aid By Sea
A situation assessment on the temporary pier in the Gaza Strip, which the U.S. military is building to enable the Gaza Strip to receive large shipments of aid, and the challenges facing plans to deliver aid by sea.
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Post-War: Scenarios for the Palestinian Political Landscape
This position assessment addresses the scenarios of the political landscape in Palestine during the post-war phase in Gaza related to the moves and positions of Israel, the United States, and Hamas. It also addresses the challenges facing their plans.
U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq: A Containment of Escalation or an Open Invitation for an Escalation of Terrorism?
This policy analysis discusses the possibilities that may ensue from the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq and the position of the Iraqi government regarding this withdrawal. It also touches on the nature of future relations between Washington and Baghdad against the backdrop of attacks between armed factions in Iraq and U.S. forces.
How Israel Views the International Court of Justice’s Emergency Measures Against It
The International Court of Justice’s interim ruling in the South Africa case accusing Israel of committing genocide against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip carries several ramifications for Tel Aviv, especially on the domestic level. This paper explains how the political and military powers in Israel perceive that decision.
Gaza War: Complex Considerations, Elusive Truce, and No End in Sight
The war in Gaza has reached a critical juncture, intensifying in a way that concerns mediators and neighboring countries, with implications for the broader international community. This escalation is evident in negotiations for a possible new truce, where the demands and priorities of the parties involved, along with the complex considerations of the mediators, are prominently featured. These intricate dynamics have led to multiple parallel tracks for both the war and the truce efforts, which this paper aims to explore.
How Will Washington Respond to the January 28 Attacks?
This situation assessment addresses the attack by Iranian-backed armed groups on “Tower 22,” a secret strategic U.S. military base. This unprecedented event led to the death of three American soldiers and had several implications for the region witnessing an escalation that could expand according to the nature of America’s response to the attack.