Situation Assessment
International Relations
The Islamabad Negotiations: Between the Conflict of Wills and Rules of Engagement
International and Global Trends
U.S.- Iran Negotiations: A State of Ambiguity and Uncertainty
Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
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Regional Reconciliation in Libya
The following political alert paper reviews the most important regional and international indicators that may push for a political settlement to the Libyan crisis. It also discusses the internal Libyan factors that must be present to ensure a sustainable solution in light of some positive changes in the regional climate.
How Deep Is the Lebanese Financial Crisis Now?
The Lebanese economy has been suffering from a set of complex crises that - through interaction - became evident by the end of 2019, at what time a dramatic collapse started, affecting various aspects of public life. What are the most prominent manifestations of these crises?
The Controversial of American Security Assessment on Iran
The following position paper provides an overview of the multiple and contradictory US security assessments regarding the Iranian file, in an attempt to determine the nature of the anticipated Iranian moves in light of this military build-up and the political escalation surrounding the region.
Washington and the faltering transition to power
Despite the results’ announcement, the controversy over the US presidential elections is still going on, as uncertainty and haziness prevail in a scene fairly open to all options including political, or even security, escalation.
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Endless Political Crises In Tel Aviv
The political crisis in Israel is deepening due to the sharp disagreements between the poles of the coalition government. What are the options before the main political powers in Tel Aviv? How did the Israeli political scene get to such level of complexity in the first place?
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"The Afghanistan Papers" and the future's peace with Taliban
The Afghan situation may be less ambiguous. What the Taliban wants from Washington regarding the withdrawal of its forces has been agreed upon and a timeframe has been set for it.
How was the largest free trade agreement in history signed?
This article provides an analysis to the conditions of signing the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, in a reading of China’s role in this important economic event and its relations with other involved parties, in addition to speculating about the way in which the coming US administration will deal with this commercial understanding.
The assassination of Mohsen Fakhri Zadeh: what is next?
The assassination of the top nuclear scientist in Iran is a source of speculations about the imminent date of the war, what delays it? What can the coming new administration do for the accelerated tension in the region? And how has this defined the current attitude of the Iranian leadership?
About Washington withdrawal from open skies treaties
This report provides an overview of the Treaty on Open Skies and discusses Washington's justifications for withdrawal. The report also explores the possible implications of the withdrawal on international arms control and whether Biden’s administration will take serious practical steps to preserve arms control treaties and enhance multilateral work.