Situation Assessment
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
International and Global Trends
Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The Outcomes of the Doha Emergency Summit and the Missed Arab Opportunity
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The American-Israeli Proposal and the Shift Towards a Unilateral Path in the Gaza Strip
Countering Terrorism and Extremism
Will ISIS Succeed in Hijacking Syria from the Transitional Government?
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Will Al-Sistani Intervene in the Iraqi Political Crisis?
Policy Analysis | This article examines the data of authority Ali al-Al-Sistani future intervention in the religious in the current political crisis, between the Coordination Framework and the Sadrist movement, based on the nature of his role, and his speeches which are derived from his previous interventions.
Iranian Protests over the Killing of "Mahsa Amini" and the Limits of Influence
Position Paper | This paper addresses popular protests in Iranian cities, raising many important questions, such as: What are the limits of the impact of these protests on the Iranian regime? Will such protests this time be different from the previous protests the country witnessed? What are the limits of external support for the protests, and how does that support affect the protests tracks?
How will the Arab Parties' Alliances Change the Israeli Landscape in the Upcoming Elections?
Policy Analysis| This paper addresses the issue of Arab parties in Israel running for the twenty-fifth Knesset elections, with three separate electoral lists. The paper seeks to extrapolate the expected results of such running, by analyzing the reality of these parties, as well as their electoral experiences, in the light of calculations of interests and concessions.
Declaring Partial Military Mobilization in Russia: Analyzing Dimensions and Betting
Position Assessment | Russian President Vladimir Putin's announcement of partial military mobilization in Russia is discussed herein, at a time when local authorities in areas controlled by the Russian military are about to hold a referendum on their independence from Ukraine. This could mean the Ukrainian crisis is entering a new phase in which the repercussions on international peace and security could be serious.
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The Visit of His Majesty King Abdullah II to France: Timing and Indications
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the visit of His Majesty King Abdullah II bin Al Hussein to France, on the fourteenth of September 2022, and also the most important issues of common interest.
Did Jordanian-Syrian Relation Pass Narcotics Test?
This paper examines the developments of Jordanian-Syrian relations in facing a shared challenge: transnational drug gangs, which has proven to be an important factor in shaping the nature and premises of their joint agreements. From this viewpoint, the paper assesses the strengths and weaknesses in the understandings between the two countries.
Al-Qaeda Post-Zawahiri: Structure, Crisis, and Future
Position Assessment| This article seeks to extrapolate the fate of al-Qaeda after the demise of its leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri. Such exploration analyzes the reality of al-Qaeda at its structural and operational levels; the crises it is suffering; and the future of al-Qaeda as well as its branches, and the prospects for change in al-Qaeda’s ideological discourses, network of relations, and positions on the ground.
Alexander Dugin and the "Eurasian" System: Philosophy and Strategy
This paper tackles the attempted assassination of the Russian political philosopher Alexander Dugin, seeking to find the reasons behind such an attempt by analyzing Dugin’s philosophical and strategic system, and its role in guiding Russian policies.
The Federal Court Ruling Places Iraq Before Open Scenarios
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the consequences of the political crisis in Iraq, in light of what can be described as the persistence of the crisis parties on their positions and demands, regardless of what will be the decision of the Federal Court regarding the dissolution of the current parliament, holding of new elections, or remaining neutral under the pretext of no competence.