Situation Assessment
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
International and Global Trends
Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The Outcomes of the Doha Emergency Summit and the Missed Arab Opportunity
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The Visit of His Majesty King Abdullah II to France: Timing and Indications
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the visit of His Majesty King Abdullah II bin Al Hussein to France, on the fourteenth of September 2022, and also the most important issues of common interest.
Did Jordanian-Syrian Relation Pass Narcotics Test?
This paper examines the developments of Jordanian-Syrian relations in facing a shared challenge: transnational drug gangs, which has proven to be an important factor in shaping the nature and premises of their joint agreements. From this viewpoint, the paper assesses the strengths and weaknesses in the understandings between the two countries.
Al-Qaeda Post-Zawahiri: Structure, Crisis, and Future
Position Assessment| This article seeks to extrapolate the fate of al-Qaeda after the demise of its leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri. Such exploration analyzes the reality of al-Qaeda at its structural and operational levels; the crises it is suffering; and the future of al-Qaeda as well as its branches, and the prospects for change in al-Qaeda’s ideological discourses, network of relations, and positions on the ground.
Alexander Dugin and the "Eurasian" System: Philosophy and Strategy
This paper tackles the attempted assassination of the Russian political philosopher Alexander Dugin, seeking to find the reasons behind such an attempt by analyzing Dugin’s philosophical and strategic system, and its role in guiding Russian policies.
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The Federal Court Ruling Places Iraq Before Open Scenarios
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the consequences of the political crisis in Iraq, in light of what can be described as the persistence of the crisis parties on their positions and demands, regardless of what will be the decision of the Federal Court regarding the dissolution of the current parliament, holding of new elections, or remaining neutral under the pretext of no competence.
Al-Sadr Retirement: Crawling from the Dome to the Palace
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the dimensions and underlying reasons that prompted Iraqi leader Muqtada al-Sadr to retire from the political life. Several stages preceded the decision, starting with the withdrawal of his deputies from parliament, then the sit-in in front of the Supreme Judicial Council, and ending with his supporters storming the Republican Palace after to the announcement of his retirement.
Is China’s Military Response to Pelosi's Visit Over?
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the potential possibilities of China’s military response to the visit of U.S. Speaker of the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan. This assessment also examines the seriousness of Washington and Beijing’s statements toward the Taiwan and the role of economic relations in reducing tensions.
Ramon Airport: Consequences and Effect on Jordan
Policy analysis| This analysis tackles the Israeli announcement of launching the Palestinian West Bank passengers' first flights to Cyprus through Ramon Airport. The analysis seeks to analyze the consequences on Jordan, as well as the direct and indirect implications, via analyzing the Israeli motives, and reviewing the undeclared interests of the relevant parties.
The “Decapitation” Strategy, Impact and Effectiveness: Al-Aqal and Al-Zawahiri as a Model
Policy analysis| This analysis examines one of the most prominent strategies in the context of counterterrorism, known as the "hard hammer" or "Decapitation" by the leaders of terrorist groups. As well as the historical development and the effectiveness of this strategy in creating, leadership gaps within terrorist organizations, and crises in choosing a successor, where such crises reached the point of divisions and defections. This analysis, then, addresses the decline and end of those organizations.