Situation Assessment
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
International and Global Trends
Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
The Outcomes of the Doha Emergency Summit and the Missed Arab Opportunity
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Timing and indications of al-Sudani's visit to Jordan
Position Assessment | This paper discusses the visit of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia'a al-Sudani to Jordan, his meeting with His Majesty King Abdullah II, the implications of choosing Jordan as its first foreign stop; and the most important files and common issues between the two countries.
After al-Qaradawi and Munir Died: What is Waiting the Muslim Brotherhood?
Position Estimation| This paper examines the situation of the Muslim Brotherhood Group after two of its most prominent and important leaders in the political and theoretical dimensions died. Those two figures namely: Yusuf al-Qaradawi; the last prominent authority of the Muslim Brotherhood and political Islam, and Ibrahim Munir; the acting general guide of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Elections to the Twenty-fifth Knesset: Lists and Scenarios
POSITION ASSESSMENT | This article outlines the scenarios of the next Israeli government, which will be realized by the elections for the twenty-fifth Knesset, scheduled for the first of November, in light of the great polarization situation among the candidate lists, and the expected neck-to-neck number of votes for each list.
"Algiers Declaration": Faint Chances of Success and Low Expectations
Position Assessment |This paper highlights "Algiers Declaration" signed by the Palestinian factions in Algiers in October 2022, under the auspices of Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. This paper also addresses the Algerian role in the Palestinian cause, and also the most important principles of the Declaration.
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Areen al-Ousoud Groups to the Forefront after Jenin Battalion
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the phenomenon of small armed groups, such as the Jenin Battalion and the Areen al-Ousoud (Lion’s Den), focusing on the latter that emerged in Nablus. The paper also tackles the repercussions of the increased activity of these armed groups on security and political stability in the West Bank.
Will Al-Sistani Intervene in the Iraqi Political Crisis?
Policy Analysis | This article examines the data of authority Ali al-Al-Sistani future intervention in the religious in the current political crisis, between the Coordination Framework and the Sadrist movement, based on the nature of his role, and his speeches which are derived from his previous interventions.
Iranian Protests over the Killing of "Mahsa Amini" and the Limits of Influence
Position Paper | This paper addresses popular protests in Iranian cities, raising many important questions, such as: What are the limits of the impact of these protests on the Iranian regime? Will such protests this time be different from the previous protests the country witnessed? What are the limits of external support for the protests, and how does that support affect the protests tracks?
How will the Arab Parties' Alliances Change the Israeli Landscape in the Upcoming Elections?
Policy Analysis| This paper addresses the issue of Arab parties in Israel running for the twenty-fifth Knesset elections, with three separate electoral lists. The paper seeks to extrapolate the expected results of such running, by analyzing the reality of these parties, as well as their electoral experiences, in the light of calculations of interests and concessions.
Declaring Partial Military Mobilization in Russia: Analyzing Dimensions and Betting
Position Assessment | Russian President Vladimir Putin's announcement of partial military mobilization in Russia is discussed herein, at a time when local authorities in areas controlled by the Russian military are about to hold a referendum on their independence from Ukraine. This could mean the Ukrainian crisis is entering a new phase in which the repercussions on international peace and security could be serious.