Situation Assessment
International Relations
The Islamabad Negotiations: Between the Conflict of Wills and Rules of Engagement
International and Global Trends
U.S.- Iran Negotiations: A State of Ambiguity and Uncertainty
Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
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Insights into the Motivation and Causes Fueling Iran’s Continued Protests
Policy Analysis | This paper examines the economic, social, and geopolitical dimensions of the ongoing Iranian protests since the death of young Mahsa Amini that are likely to play a major role in the spread and continuation of the protests.
How the Supreme Leader’s Illness Affect the Iranian Regime during the Protests?
Policy Analysis | This analysis tackles the challenges that are facing the Iranian regime, in light of reports which said that Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, has a "serious" disease, at the time the protests in several Iranian cities intensify as days pass. The paper examines the role of the Supreme Leader, and how his death may affect in light of the country's unfavourable major events.
Religious Zionism: Where is the Israeli Political Landscape Heading?
Position assessment | This paper addresses the rise of “religious Zionism” in Israel after the recent Knesset elections, a rise that will impose changes on the Israeli domestic landscape with repercussions on the Palestinian cause as well as regional and international levels.
Timing and indications of al-Sudani's visit to Jordan
Position Assessment | This paper discusses the visit of Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia'a al-Sudani to Jordan, his meeting with His Majesty King Abdullah II, the implications of choosing Jordan as its first foreign stop; and the most important files and common issues between the two countries.
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After al-Qaradawi and Munir Died: What is Waiting the Muslim Brotherhood?
Position Estimation| This paper examines the situation of the Muslim Brotherhood Group after two of its most prominent and important leaders in the political and theoretical dimensions died. Those two figures namely: Yusuf al-Qaradawi; the last prominent authority of the Muslim Brotherhood and political Islam, and Ibrahim Munir; the acting general guide of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Elections to the Twenty-fifth Knesset: Lists and Scenarios
POSITION ASSESSMENT | This article outlines the scenarios of the next Israeli government, which will be realized by the elections for the twenty-fifth Knesset, scheduled for the first of November, in light of the great polarization situation among the candidate lists, and the expected neck-to-neck number of votes for each list.
"Algiers Declaration": Faint Chances of Success and Low Expectations
Position Assessment |This paper highlights "Algiers Declaration" signed by the Palestinian factions in Algiers in October 2022, under the auspices of Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. This paper also addresses the Algerian role in the Palestinian cause, and also the most important principles of the Declaration.
Areen al-Ousoud Groups to the Forefront after Jenin Battalion
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the phenomenon of small armed groups, such as the Jenin Battalion and the Areen al-Ousoud (Lion’s Den), focusing on the latter that emerged in Nablus. The paper also tackles the repercussions of the increased activity of these armed groups on security and political stability in the West Bank.
Will Al-Sistani Intervene in the Iraqi Political Crisis?
Policy Analysis | This article examines the data of authority Ali al-Al-Sistani future intervention in the religious in the current political crisis, between the Coordination Framework and the Sadrist movement, based on the nature of his role, and his speeches which are derived from his previous interventions.