Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
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Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh Summits: Seeking Limited Achievements with Future Impact
Position Assessment | This assessment examines the Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh summits in the context of their timing, field data, and proposed objectives. The parties to these summits hope to achieve limited breakthroughs in Palestinian-Israeli relations that can have positive short- and medium-term impact on the political, economic, and security situations in the West Bank.
Chances of Consensus on Sainte-Laguë Electoral System in Iraq
Position Assessment |This Position Assessment examines the controversy surrounding the proposal to adopt the Sainte-Laguë mechanism for the Iraqi Electoral Law. The mechanism was previously used in the 2014 and 2018 elections, but was later stopped by the law implemented in 2020. The assessment assumes that the current political climate in Iraq presents an opportunity for the State Administration Coalition to introduce a new electoral law.
“Spearhead” is Getting Ready for the Wars of the Future: U.S Special Forces’ Limits in Contemporary International Conflict.
Strategic assessment | This assessment examines the transformations to the role of U.S. Special Operations Forces, which have declined as asymmetric conflicts have given way to the return of symmetric conflicts in the international strategic environment. The assessment addresses the role of U.S. Special Forces within the framework of new security and defense strategies."
The Regional Situation Following the Restoration of Saudi-Iranian Relations
Policy Analysis | This analysis addresses the announcement of the restoration of Saudi-Iranian relations, sponsored by China, with an emphasis on the underlying motivations of both nations. Additionally, the analysis evaluates the impact of this announcement on the regional situation and its influence on a range of issues in the region.
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The Jordanian Initiative: Opportunities to Establish Security in Southern Syria
Policy Analysis | This analysis examines Jordan’s efforts to mobilize international support and an Arab consensus to reach a political solution to the Syrian crisis. The aim is to reduce security threats along Jordan’s northern and eastern borders and strengthen the active Arab role in the Syrian crisis in the face of Iranian influence in the country.
Munich Security Conference 2023 and the Crossroads of the Current World Order
Policy Analysis | This analysis discusses the 59th Munich Security Conference, held against the backdrop of several paradoxes at the international level. These paradoxes include the first anniversary of the Ukrainian crisis outbreak, the escalation of tension between China and the United States, the high level of escalation between the two Koreas, and Japan's announcement of a strategic shift in its military doctrine, as well as North Korea's ballistic tests in the surrounding territorial waters of both South Korea and Japan.
The Potential of the Chinese-Russian Military Alliance and Its Impact on the Indo-Pacific Security Landscape
Strategic Assessment | This assessment focuses on the relationship between Russia and China, specifically examining their military alliance. It highlights their joint military drills conducted in the East China Sea near Japan in 2022. These drills reflect Beijing and Moscow’s shared strategic vision and recognition that reshaping the international system necessitates exerting control over the Western Pacific region.
Diplomacy of Relief and Diplomacy of Disaster: How Countries are Reshaping their Foreign Relations?
Policy Analysis | The analysis shades light on the disaster and relief diplomacy, by providing an explanatory introduction to the two terms, focusing on the concept of disaster diplomacy by reviewing previous experiences, in order to reach an interpretation to the current scene after the recent earthquakes in Turkiye and Syria. Despite how tragic such event was, this analysis examines the extent to which the two countries are able to improve their domestic and foreign reality.
Is the King’s Visit to Washington an Indicator for Increased Jordanian Influence Coefficient?
Situation assessment | This assessment addresses the influence of Jordanian King Abdullah II’s visit to the United States in early February 2023 on important developments in the region, especially in the Palestinian, Iranian, and Israeli arenas.