Analyses
Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
Regional Trends
Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
International and Global Trends
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
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Is the Tripartite Declaration the Last Opportunity to Stop the War?
The tripartite statement reflects the desire of the United States, the international community, and Arab states to halt the war in Gaza and to mitigate the risks of continued escalation on secondary fronts, which increasingly threatens to expand and intensify.
What the Selection of Sinwar Reveals About Hamas’s Plans and Focus
The most significant turning point behind Sinwar’s selection lies in his multifaceted role in political, social, and military affairs in the Gaza Strip.
Ultimate Test of Deterrence: The Israeli Assassinations of Two Axis of Resistance Leaders
The assassination of Fouad Shukr and Ismail Haniyeh put the region in extraordinary circumstances, with the Axis of Resistance acknowledging the significance of the two murders and its members threat to retaliate. Consequently, the region should expect four impending retaliatory attacks from Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.
The Attack on Majdal Shams: An Accident or a Turning Point in the Rules of Engagement?
The attack has heightened international warnings about the risk of a direct and intense confrontation between Hezbollah and Israel, a possibility that has been escalating given the increasing frequency and intensity of their exchanges.
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Palestinian Rights: Israel Versus the World
The International Court of Justice’s advisory opinion on the illegality of the Israeli presence in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967 provides a foundation for the growing political and legal movement within the international community regarding the Palestinian cause. However, it also faces challenges due to Israeli action and divisions within the Palestinian arena.
Wadi al-Kabir Attack: The Event Indicators and the Symbolism of Place
This position assessment addresses the terrorist attack on a mosque in the capital city of Muscat in the Wadi al-Kabir region, covering the implications related to the choice of location and its symbolism, the perpetrators’ identities, their motives, and the future repercussions of the attack.
Turkey and Syria Inching Closer Toward Resuming Good Relations
Turkish-Syrian relations have entered a fresh phase of discussion initiatives, but the path of rapprochement between them is not new. Its manifestations have been apparent since 2022. But now the resumption of relations between the two counties has become a significant objective for Russia.
Houthi Escalation Amid Growing Iranian Interest in the Mediterranean
Iran is attempting to encourage its allies to increase their activity in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, Iranian perceptions of their ability to operate and exert influence in the region face several constraints and complexities. These include geographical factors, military capabilities, and the inability to control escalation and its repercussions.
The European Landscape After the Rise of the Left in the UK and France
This paper addresses the result of the elections in France and the United Kingdom and how they will affect future elections in various European countries. It also examines the overall European politics toward the current files.