Analyses
Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
Regional Trends
Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
International and Global Trends
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
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The Allenby Incident Is Containable but Signals a Continuation of Tension
Repercussions are likely to remain limited on both the security and political levels, as well as on Jordanian-Israeli relations despite its context amid the war in Gaza, the escalation in the West Bank
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
The Jordanian political parties, established in less than a year, are set to compete in the upcoming parliamentary elections, where they are expected to play a pivotal role that should gradually develop in future elections. This places self-imposed pressures on the parties to keep pace with the modernization process. This paper will explore a range of policies and practices specific to the initial phase of this experience—running for office and reaching the parliament—in a way that avoids pitfalls and mistakes that could obstruct their progress.
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
The Israeli security and political objectives behind the military operation in the northern West Bank and Jordan Valley are multifaceted and interconnected. These goals are timed to align with confrontations on other fronts, particularly in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon. Extending beyond the Palestinian context, the potential dangers of the situation in the West Bank could also impact Jordan.
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
The Iranian president’s ability to implement new programs is limited considering the failed efforts of the three previous reformist presidents. None of them managed to bring about significant changes in Iran’s domestic and foreign policies. Moreover, it is likely that Pezeshkian agenda will face strong opposition from the conservatives who dominate the parliament and the Assembly of Experts after their victory in the March 2024 elections.
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Hezbollah’s Response to Shukor’s Death: Balanced Deterrence and Preventing Escalation
The intensity of the Hezbollah response was less than what was expected after Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah vowed on August 6 that it will be “strong, influential and effective” and will exceed the scope of the daily border skirmishes.
What Are the Chances of Success for the New Round of Negotiations to End the War in the Gaza Strip?
The chances of success for the new round of negotiations to end the war in Gaza do not seem very high, at least when it comes to reaching a comprehensive agreement. However, the American insistence on continuing the negotiations, along with the seriousness of the Egyptian and Qatari mediators, may push the warring parties towards an agreement on a temporary humanitarian ceasefire.
Palestinian Individual Operations Since the Outbreak of War in the Gaza Strip
This paper provides a first-of-its-kind analytical reading of individual operations in the West Bank, Jerusalem, and Israel to expand the understanding of these incidents. It also examines their frequency, types, and scope during the war in the Gaza Strip, and compare them with previous years since they became a case study in 2015
The Rafah Crossing: Who Will Control It and Why It’s Important
The Rafah border crossing gains its significance on the world stage from being the only gateway into and out of the Gaza Strip for both its citizens and the delivery of life-saving goods and humanitarian aid. This paper presents future scenarios for the management of the crossing, which could be an issue with the arrangements for the day after the war or what may be proposed for implementation beforehand that will serve as a prelude to the future management structure of the Gaza Strip.
The Local and Regional Landscape After Hasina’s Resignation in Bangladesh
It’s too early to judge whether stability has been achieved in Bangladesh and whether a new political system has been established following Sheikh Hasina’s resignation and the formation of a temporary government. Moreover, predicting the decline of the parties from the previous phase seems unlikely, especially the Awami League, which has governed the country since the 1970s.