Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
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Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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Ramon Airport: Consequences and Effect on Jordan
Policy analysis| This analysis tackles the Israeli announcement of launching the Palestinian West Bank passengers' first flights to Cyprus through Ramon Airport. The analysis seeks to analyze the consequences on Jordan, as well as the direct and indirect implications, via analyzing the Israeli motives, and reviewing the undeclared interests of the relevant parties.
Geopolitical Crisis in the Artic: Effects on the International Security System
Strategic Summary | This summary addresses the importance of the Arctic in influencing the international system decades after being marginal and of limited influence. This importance is discussed in the context of strategic updates and the major military reinforcements made by the countries neighboring the North Pole, indicating that such region would enter into the epicenter of international conflict.
How Does the Political Employment of the Events in the Palestinian Territories Affect Jordan?
Strategic Summary | The accelerating developments, in the Palestinian territories and Israel, impose new repercussions on Jordan, as these developments demonstrate common factors that unite their parties (the Palestinian Authority, the Israeli government, and Hamas) centered on ensuring their political future, and in a way that may establish new understandings that may redefine the concepts of resistance and partnership. this may be negatively reflected on Jordan, politically and economically.
The Middle East from the perspective of Chinese national security
Policy Analysis| The paper sheds light on the Chinese national Security Law, in an attempt to determine the position of the Middle East in the calculations of this Law. The paper explains the differences this Law has comparing to its American counterpart of a geostrategic nature. The paper foresees the future of the Chinese presence, impacted by the international competition with Washington, the matter which necessarily requires examining the mechanisms of possible "clash" between China and the United States in the region, and the repercussions of such clash on regional security.
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The “Decapitation” Strategy, Impact and Effectiveness: Al-Aqal and Al-Zawahiri as a Model
Policy analysis| This analysis examines one of the most prominent strategies in the context of counterterrorism, known as the "hard hammer" or "Decapitation" by the leaders of terrorist groups. As well as the historical development and the effectiveness of this strategy in creating, leadership gaps within terrorist organizations, and crises in choosing a successor, where such crises reached the point of divisions and defections. This analysis, then, addresses the decline and end of those organizations.
A NEW PHASE IN HAMAS POLITICAL PROJECT
This paper touches upon "Hamas" Movement's attitude towards the escalation between Israel and the Islamic Jihad Movement in Gaza Strip following the assassination of military leaders as well as a group of activists in the Islamic Jihad Movement, and it addresses the reasons for Hamas's neutrality towards military intervention against the Israeli attacks, and its demands to stop them without threatening to respond or participate in the process.
Al-Julani's Statelet
This strategic study examines China's major strategy in imposing its sovereignty on the regional seas, in order to evade the imposed sanction over it by the U.S. security arch in the Pacific ocean. The paper presents answers to questions such as: Would the Chinese strategy be able to break down 125 years of the U.S. domination on the Pacific, and eight decades of absolute hegemony in that area, as such hegemony was recently used to besiege China? What are the dimensions, levels, and motivations of the U.S. besiege on China? Why did the Pacific become the U.S. priority at the onset of this century? Would China be able to break the current international system's rules and entrap the U.S in an investable military confrontation, in order to determine the new international system shape? Does the current Chinese power allow itto dismantle the hydra head-shape alliances in the Pacific? And when would the Chinese be able to take that step?
The Necessary Balance: The Rise of China and U.S. Control
This paper addresses the impact of accelerated Chinese growth on the status of the international system, at a moment when talk is more on the need to create a balance between the rise of China and the current U.S. position. This paper addresses the Chinese strategy in managing this rise, and the U.S. strategy in confronting it.
Where would the Lebanese-Israeli Maritime Conflict Lead to?
This paper estimates the legal position of the maritime border dispute between Lebanon and Israel, which is related to the right to use the resources in the disputed waters. This paper also considers to the possible scenarios of this conflict, in accordance with domestic and external considerations, within which Lebanon and Israel are taking their moves.