Analyses
Politics
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Politics
test analyses
Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
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How Will Washington Respond to the January 28 Attacks?
This situation assessment addresses the attack by Iranian-backed armed groups on “Tower 22,” a secret strategic U.S. military base. This unprecedented event led to the death of three American soldiers and had several implications for the region witnessing an escalation that could expand according to the nature of America’s response to the attack.
Map of the Militarization of the Red Sea and the Features of Upcoming Conflicts
This policy analysis addresses the U.S. and Western military presence in the Red Sea in response to Houthi attacks. It also addresses several questions about the implications and motives behind the unprecedented military mobilization in the Red Sea. For instance, is it proportional to the scale of the Houthi threats to international trade?
Israeli Government Scenarios for the Day After the War
The Israeli government coalition has been in a state of crisis since its formation in December 2022. This ongoing multifaceted crisis stems from the disparate components of the government coalition, as well as its domestic and foreign policies. In addition to this are the new crises produced by the war in Gaza. This paper addresses the Israeli government’s scenarios for the day after the war.
The United States: The De-Escalation Efforts and the Prospects of Escalation in the Middle East
Policy Analysis: This paper discusses the United States policy and pillars towards the war in the Gaza Strip, and the U.S. position on the secondary arenas of escalation. It also presents a new idea about the signs of independence of those arenas in terms of their goals and objectives from the main arena of war in the Gaza Strip, the matter that poses new challenges for the United States in pursuing unified policies.
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The Escalation of Houthis and the Repercussions on the Region
This policy analysis addresses the escalation of the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and its effects on Arab countries. This analysis also touches on the Operation Prosperity Guardian coalition launched by the United States with the participation of more than 20 countries to protect international shipping lanes.
How Saleh al-Arouri’s Assassination Pushed the Gaza War Into a New Phase
The assassination mission signaled that Israel had entered into a new phase of the war in the Gaza Strip by reducing the fire rate and perfecting concentrated military operations and precise intelligence activities. This achieved by both targeting and killing important Hamas and jihad leaders and successfully bombing sensitive military facilities
How do Political Islam Groups See the War in Gaza?
Despite the shared roots of political Islam groups, whether in terms of their origin or ideology, their positions on the attacks carried out by Palestinian factions in the Gaza envelope have varied between support and opposition. Therefore, this paper aims to assess the positions of these groups regarding the war in Gaza.
Deception and Illusion: Is there a difference between political Islam and economic Islam?
An opinion article dealing with the topic of Islamic banks, their financial systems, and the difference between them and conventional banks.
Possible Outcomes of the Israeli War on the Gaza Strip After the Truce
The Israeli war on the Gaza Strip is managed according to changing rules, depending on the military situation, the local reactions of Hamas and Israel, and foreign pressures. This means that the war will not proceed according to any prepared plans, decisive objectives, or rules. Therefore, this paper addresses the possible outcome of the war after the truce and the variables that define such the war.