Analyses
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
International and Global Trends
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
International and Global Trends
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
Arab policy
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
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Have the Costs of the War in Gaza Become a Factor in Stopping It?
Aside from considering the achievements perceived by the parties involved in the Israel-Hamas war, the losses and risks associated with its continuation have become a factor in increasing the chances of reaching a ceasefire agreement. Therefore, a range of future scenarios should be taken into account.
Israeli War Cabinet Scenarios Following Gantz’s Resignation Warning
Disputes within Israel’s war cabinet raise several questions about the impact political parties will have on the future of the cabinet, its unity, existence, and, more broadly, on the future of the Israeli government. The war cabinet and the government of Israel have become significantly tied to the war variables in Gaza and the positions of the actors involved, foremost of which is the United States. This ushers in three scenarios for the future of the war cabinet: it will carry on its work, it will dissolve while the coalition government remains, or it will dissolve leading to early elections.
The Changing American Position on Israeli Government’s Management of The War in The Gaza Strip
The disagreements between the American administration and the Israeli government regarding the war in the Gaza Strip are a continuation of the apparent contradictions in the visions and policies between the two parties since the formation of the Israeli government at the end of December 2022, which U.S. President Joe Biden described as “the most right-wing in the history of Israel.” It is likely that these disagreements will continue between the two parties regarding their priorities during the coming period, but the deepening of this disagreement into the structure of the bilateral relations is unlikely.
How Will the Palestinian Government Establish New Roles for Power in the West Bank and Gaza?
Situation Assessment: The appointment of Mohammad Mostafa to form a Palestinian government and the challenges it will face in the regional and international arena while achieving its objectives in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, as well as the requirements necessary for the government to achieve its objectives, is addressed.
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U.S. Pier in Gaza and the Chances of Successful Delivery of Aid By Sea
A situation assessment on the temporary pier in the Gaza Strip, which the U.S. military is building to enable the Gaza Strip to receive large shipments of aid, and the challenges facing plans to deliver aid by sea.
Post-War: Scenarios for the Palestinian Political Landscape
This position assessment addresses the scenarios of the political landscape in Palestine during the post-war phase in Gaza related to the moves and positions of Israel, the United States, and Hamas. It also addresses the challenges facing their plans.
How Israel Views the International Court of Justice’s Emergency Measures Against It
The International Court of Justice’s interim ruling in the South Africa case accusing Israel of committing genocide against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip carries several ramifications for Tel Aviv, especially on the domestic level. This paper explains how the political and military powers in Israel perceive that decision.
Gaza War: Complex Considerations, Elusive Truce, and No End in Sight
The war in Gaza has reached a critical juncture, intensifying in a way that concerns mediators and neighboring countries, with implications for the broader international community. This escalation is evident in negotiations for a possible new truce, where the demands and priorities of the parties involved, along with the complex considerations of the mediators, are prominently featured. These intricate dynamics have led to multiple parallel tracks for both the war and the truce efforts, which this paper aims to explore.
Israeli Government Scenarios for the Day After the War
The Israeli government coalition has been in a state of crisis since its formation in December 2022. This ongoing multifaceted crisis stems from the disparate components of the government coalition, as well as its domestic and foreign policies. In addition to this are the new crises produced by the war in Gaza. This paper addresses the Israeli government’s scenarios for the day after the war.