Analyses
Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
Regional Trends
Iraq Between Geopolitical Challenges and Strategic Opportunities
Regional Trends
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
International and Global Trends
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
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The Trajectories of the Israeli Ground Operation in Lebanon
The Israeli ground operation in southern Lebanon is shrouded in ambiguity from both sides. There is a lack of clarity regarding Israel’s objectives, the intended stopping point of its advance, and the next steps in the operation. Additionally, there are uncertainties about the latent capabilities that Hezbollah might employ to increase the costs of this incursion.
Scenarios for Israel’s Anticipated Strike on Iran
The world today is preoccupied with the anticipated Israeli response to recent Iranian attacks, which is expected to be disproportionate and comes with unexpected repercussions, especially after Israel put its response in the frame of strategic objectives.
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
This story documents firsthand testimonies from individuals within Sudan who are well-informed about the increasing Iranian influence in their country. We refer to them as "Al-Hajj," "The General," and "The Diplomat" to protect their identities and ensure their safety. These individuals unanimously expressed concerns in their testimonies about the dangers of Iranian influence on their country's future stability, the prospects for a ceasefire between the conflicting parties, and the risks this growing influence poses to regional security in the Middle East and Africa, in a way that cannot be ignored.
The Iranian Attack Against Israel: Strike and Counter-Strike
The turning point between Israeli-Iranian relations is linked to the repercussions of the attack. Iran continues expressing its desire to prevent the war from expanding, but the potential Israeli response will be a decisive factor in shaping the upcoming regional landscape.
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Nasrallah’s Assassination Puts Hezbollah and the Unification of the arenas in a Critical Moment
The assassination of Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah puts the movement in a critical moment, exacerbating the damage to its military structure. This raises questions about Hezbollah’s position in confrontation with Israel, the Iranian approach toward its most important allies, and the stance of the other parties in the “Unification of the arenas.”
Intelligence Superiority Places the Escalation Between Israel and Hezbollah at a Turning Point
Israeli information and intelligence superiority has contributed to its deadly aim in striking several strategic targets of the Hezbollah Movement, both at its leadership and infrastructure. This paper seeks to analyze the Israeli strategy towards Hezbollah before and after the war in Gaza, which has significantly weakened the Movement’s capabilities and hindered its ability to respond proportionately and escalate in return.
The 20th Parliamentary Landscape and Prospects of Political Modernization
This paper presents an analysis of how results of the recent Jordanian parliamentary election will affect the kingdom’s political parties. It proposes a number of scenarios regarding the parliamentary landscape of the 20th council, as well as the trajectory of political modernization.
Regional Powers Must Uphold Their Historical Responsibility to Achieve Stability in the Middle East
An opinion piece by Palestinian diplomat and former ambassador, Nabil Maaruf, proposes a new initiative to improve stability in the Middle East, neutralize conflicts arising from international interventions, and radically increasing the region’s low weight in the international system of power. His perspective on the Middle East initiative is based on the transformations that Europe underwent during its dark ages.
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
The visit of Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian to Iraq raises several questions about the future of Iraqi-Iranian relations. Will Iraq be facing fundamental and decisive changes? An analysis of the factors and variables, however, suggests that changes in Iraq will not affect its political or security relations with Iran. The relationship between the two countries is deeply intertwined and transcends political changes and internal or external conditions.