Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
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Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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Areen al-Ousoud Groups to the Forefront after Jenin Battalion
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the phenomenon of small armed groups, such as the Jenin Battalion and the Areen al-Ousoud (Lion’s Den), focusing on the latter that emerged in Nablus. The paper also tackles the repercussions of the increased activity of these armed groups on security and political stability in the West Bank.
Will Al-Sistani Intervene in the Iraqi Political Crisis?
Policy Analysis | This article examines the data of authority Ali al-Al-Sistani future intervention in the religious in the current political crisis, between the Coordination Framework and the Sadrist movement, based on the nature of his role, and his speeches which are derived from his previous interventions.
The Impossible Mission: Why Is the Status of Solution Sought in Iraq?
Op-ed | This op-ed discusses all parties’ efforts to reach a consensus on a solution to the Iraqi crisis. While it seems elusive or unlikely to happen, a consensus on a solution may not be a demand in itself, whether in case the dispute reflects a healthy situation recognized even in ancient democracies or that the absence of a desired solution is fueling the situation of instability, carrying harbingers of broader unrest.
Iranian Protests over the Killing of "Mahsa Amini" and the Limits of Influence
Position Paper | This paper addresses popular protests in Iranian cities, raising many important questions, such as: What are the limits of the impact of these protests on the Iranian regime? Will such protests this time be different from the previous protests the country witnessed? What are the limits of external support for the protests, and how does that support affect the protests tracks?
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How will the Arab Parties' Alliances Change the Israeli Landscape in the Upcoming Elections?
Policy Analysis| This paper addresses the issue of Arab parties in Israel running for the twenty-fifth Knesset elections, with three separate electoral lists. The paper seeks to extrapolate the expected results of such running, by analyzing the reality of these parties, as well as their electoral experiences, in the light of calculations of interests and concessions.
The Hamas-Damascus Track: One Way or an Intersection of Interests?
Policy Analysis | This paper seeks to provide an analytical reading of Hamas' announcement to resume its relations with Syria after a decade of rupture. It also examines the motives behind the announcement in light of the Hamas's ambitions and the pressures that besiege Hamas the factors and variables leading to this declaration, and the internal problems and external obstacles that it has faced in the past or may face in the future because of it.
Declaring Partial Military Mobilization in Russia: Analyzing Dimensions and Betting
Position Assessment | Russian President Vladimir Putin's announcement of partial military mobilization in Russia is discussed herein, at a time when local authorities in areas controlled by the Russian military are about to hold a referendum on their independence from Ukraine. This could mean the Ukrainian crisis is entering a new phase in which the repercussions on international peace and security could be serious.
The Visit of His Majesty King Abdullah II to France: Timing and Indications
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the visit of His Majesty King Abdullah II bin Al Hussein to France, on the fourteenth of September 2022, and also the most important issues of common interest.
Did Jordanian-Syrian Relation Pass Narcotics Test?
This paper examines the developments of Jordanian-Syrian relations in facing a shared challenge: transnational drug gangs, which has proven to be an important factor in shaping the nature and premises of their joint agreements. From this viewpoint, the paper assesses the strengths and weaknesses in the understandings between the two countries.