Analyses

Houthi Escalation Amid Growing Iranian Interest in the Mediterranean

Iran is attempting to encourage its allies to increase their activity in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, Iranian perceptions of their ability to operate and exert influence in the region face several constraints and complexities. These include geographical factors, military capabilities, and the inability to control escalation and its repercussions.

The European Landscape After the Rise of the Left in the UK and France

This paper addresses the result of the elections in France and the United Kingdom and how they will affect future elections in various European countries. It also examines the overall European politics toward the current files.

Escalation Development Paths Between Hezbollah and Israel

Perceptions of Iran’s Political Scene in Upcoming Presidential Election

The upcoming presidential election in Iran is of particular importance given the internal and external issues surrounding Iranian politics. Foremost among them is the question of who will succeed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, how will his vision—and the next president’s—shape Iran’s political system 80 years after the 1978–1979 revolution, and how will regional and international developments and their implications affect Iran’s security and diplomatic policies.

Will the “Response” conference in Jordan overcome the complexity of aid flow and reconstruction?

This position paper addresses the Emergency Humanitarian Response Conference in Gaza, which was held in Jordan. The conference discussed several key areas related to determining the mechanisms of this response and the main aspects of its coordination among the components of the international community.

Israeli War Cabinet Scenarios Following Gantz’s Resignation Warning

Disputes within Israel’s war cabinet raise several questions about the impact political parties will have on the future of the cabinet, its unity, existence, and, more broadly, on the future of the Israeli government. The war cabinet and the government of Israel have become significantly tied to the war variables in Gaza and the positions of the actors involved, foremost of which is the United States. This ushers in three scenarios for the future of the war cabinet: it will carry on its work, it will dissolve while the coalition government remains, or it will dissolve leading to early elections.

Will Biden’s Plan Succeed in Achieving Stability in the Middle East?

U.S. President Joe Biden’s plan for stability in the Middle East sets a clear initial goal —a ceasefire—and an explicit ultimate aim: sustainable cessation of the war in Gaza. However, the path of the plan from its implementation to its completion faces several complications and contains gaps that could disrupt it.

Have the Costs of the War in Gaza Become a Factor in Stopping It?

Aside from considering the achievements perceived by the parties involved in the Israel-Hamas war, the losses and risks associated with its continuation have become a factor in increasing the chances of reaching a ceasefire agreement. Therefore, a range of future scenarios should be taken into account.

The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar

The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?