Analyses
Politics
test promoted
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
Politics
Will the Shifting Orientations of Iraqi Voters Decide the Upcoming Elections?
Politics
The Syrian Situation Between Centralization and Decentralization Options
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Will “Trump’s Plan” Succeed in Achieving a Ceasefire and Peace?
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How Can the Attacks on Crocus be Interpreted?
This position assessment discusses the attacks that targeted the Crocus City Hall in Russia, along with the controversy surrounding the party responsible for them. The accusations range from Russia blaming the West to the terrorist organization “ISIS” claiming responsibility.
Zero-Sum Game: Belated Awakening of the 60-Year-Old Munich Security Conference
The 2024 Munich Security coincided with high levels of uncertainty about the future of the international system, developments in the Ukrainian war, the challenges associated with the war in the Gaza Strip, and the relationship between the countries of the North and the South.
U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq: A Containment of Escalation or an Open Invitation for an Escalation of Terrorism?
This policy analysis discusses the possibilities that may ensue from the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq and the position of the Iraqi government regarding this withdrawal. It also touches on the nature of future relations between Washington and Baghdad against the backdrop of attacks between armed factions in Iraq and U.S. forces.
How Israel Views the International Court of Justice’s Emergency Measures Against It
The International Court of Justice’s interim ruling in the South Africa case accusing Israel of committing genocide against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip carries several ramifications for Tel Aviv, especially on the domestic level. This paper explains how the political and military powers in Israel perceive that decision.
How Will Washington Respond to the January 28 Attacks?
This situation assessment addresses the attack by Iranian-backed armed groups on “Tower 22,” a secret strategic U.S. military base. This unprecedented event led to the death of three American soldiers and had several implications for the region witnessing an escalation that could expand according to the nature of America’s response to the attack.
Map of the Militarization of the Red Sea and the Features of Upcoming Conflicts
This policy analysis addresses the U.S. and Western military presence in the Red Sea in response to Houthi attacks. It also addresses several questions about the implications and motives behind the unprecedented military mobilization in the Red Sea. For instance, is it proportional to the scale of the Houthi threats to international trade?
The United States: The De-Escalation Efforts and the Prospects of Escalation in the Middle East
Policy Analysis: This paper discusses the United States policy and pillars towards the war in the Gaza Strip, and the U.S. position on the secondary arenas of escalation. It also presents a new idea about the signs of independence of those arenas in terms of their goals and objectives from the main arena of war in the Gaza Strip, the matter that poses new challenges for the United States in pursuing unified policies.
The Escalation of Houthis and the Repercussions on the Region
This policy analysis addresses the escalation of the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and its effects on Arab countries. This analysis also touches on the Operation Prosperity Guardian coalition launched by the United States with the participation of more than 20 countries to protect international shipping lanes.
Will the G20 Summit Mark a New Turning Point in the Global Order?
A position assessment paper on the latest G20 Summit held in India. The main themes of the paper address contentious issues among the summit parties, such as the Ukrainian crisis, the gradual phasing out of fossil fuels, and debt restructuring. The paper indicates that the summit marked a new turning point both in the relations among its members and in the future of traditional international blocs.