Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
International Relations
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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The Federal Court Ruling Places Iraq Before Open Scenarios
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the consequences of the political crisis in Iraq, in light of what can be described as the persistence of the crisis parties on their positions and demands, regardless of what will be the decision of the Federal Court regarding the dissolution of the current parliament, holding of new elections, or remaining neutral under the pretext of no competence.
Al-Sadr Retirement: Crawling from the Dome to the Palace
Position Assessment| This paper addresses the dimensions and underlying reasons that prompted Iraqi leader Muqtada al-Sadr to retire from the political life. Several stages preceded the decision, starting with the withdrawal of his deputies from parliament, then the sit-in in front of the Supreme Judicial Council, and ending with his supporters storming the Republican Palace after to the announcement of his retirement.
Geopolitical Crisis in the Artic: Effects on the International Security System
Strategic Summary | This summary addresses the importance of the Arctic in influencing the international system decades after being marginal and of limited influence. This importance is discussed in the context of strategic updates and the major military reinforcements made by the countries neighboring the North Pole, indicating that such region would enter into the epicenter of international conflict.
The Middle East from the perspective of Chinese national security
Policy Analysis| The paper sheds light on the Chinese national Security Law, in an attempt to determine the position of the Middle East in the calculations of this Law. The paper explains the differences this Law has comparing to its American counterpart of a geostrategic nature. The paper foresees the future of the Chinese presence, impacted by the international competition with Washington, the matter which necessarily requires examining the mechanisms of possible "clash" between China and the United States in the region, and the repercussions of such clash on regional security.
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The “Decapitation” Strategy, Impact and Effectiveness: Al-Aqal and Al-Zawahiri as a Model
Policy analysis| This analysis examines one of the most prominent strategies in the context of counterterrorism, known as the "hard hammer" or "Decapitation" by the leaders of terrorist groups. As well as the historical development and the effectiveness of this strategy in creating, leadership gaps within terrorist organizations, and crises in choosing a successor, where such crises reached the point of divisions and defections. This analysis, then, addresses the decline and end of those organizations.
Al-Julani's Statelet
This strategic study examines China's major strategy in imposing its sovereignty on the regional seas, in order to evade the imposed sanction over it by the U.S. security arch in the Pacific ocean. The paper presents answers to questions such as: Would the Chinese strategy be able to break down 125 years of the U.S. domination on the Pacific, and eight decades of absolute hegemony in that area, as such hegemony was recently used to besiege China? What are the dimensions, levels, and motivations of the U.S. besiege on China? Why did the Pacific become the U.S. priority at the onset of this century? Would China be able to break the current international system's rules and entrap the U.S in an investable military confrontation, in order to determine the new international system shape? Does the current Chinese power allow itto dismantle the hydra head-shape alliances in the Pacific? And when would the Chinese be able to take that step?
What’s after the Decision to Dissolve Knesset?
This paper addresses the decision of the Israeli Prime Minister, Naftali Bennett's, to dissolute the Israeli Knesset, and head towards early parliamentary elections, after he failed to pass (Extending judicial proceedings in the West Bank) law. This paper also addresses the future of that law in light such situation, the nature of the anticipatory context of that decision, and its main objectives. As well as possible last-minute options for the future of the government coalition in Israel.
The withdrawal of the Sadrist alliance opens the door to new scenarios
The paper represents a reading of the political scene in Iraq after the resignation of the Sadrist movement's members, and attempts to explain the reasons for this resignation and its merits. It draws future scenarios that the Sadrist movement may resort to for solving the political gridlock in the country
What is new in Jordan's war on drugs?
This paper addresses challenges on Jordan's northern borders, especially in light of talk of a Russian withdrawal, which may strengthen the control of Iranian-backed groups responsible for cross-border drug smuggling.