Analyses
Politics
test promoted
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
Politics
Will the Shifting Orientations of Iraqi Voters Decide the Upcoming Elections?
Politics
The Syrian Situation Between Centralization and Decentralization Options
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Will “Trump’s Plan” Succeed in Achieving a Ceasefire and Peace?
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American Military Movements on the Borders of Iraq and Syria: A Preventive Buildup or a Complex Military Operation?
An assessment of the situation: Addressing the United States’ reinforcement of its military presence in the Middle East by sending more military equipment and soldiers, as well as the military movements of American battalions in Iraq and Syria. These movements raise questions about the “Biden Doctrine,” especially with the possibility that a military operation in the near future might be launched pursuant to a U.S. plan.
The Tripartite Summit of El-Alamein and the Reorganization of Affairs in Palestine
This position assessment discusses the tripartite summit between the leaders of Jordan, Egypt, and the Palestinian Authority in the Egyptian city of El-Alamein. The summit emphasized the priority of international and Arab legal references for resolving the Palestinian cause. This paper also addresses the future of the Palestinian Authority in light of the crises facing the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Niger Coup: Complexities and Geopolitical Implications
A position assessment that addresses the military coup in Niger, the nature of the scenes that preceded and accompanied such a coup, and the subsequent repercussions. The position assessment addresses the possibilities of an African and international response, and the difficulties associated with the overall procedures towards Niger, whether such procedures are peaceful or military.
Quid pro quo: Chances of Success for the Amman Consultative Meeting
Position Assessment | On May 1, 2023, the foreign ministers of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, and Syria convened in Amman for an Arab Consultative Meeting to establish a roadmap for Syria’s reintegration into the Arab world. This position assessment offers an analysis of the Amman Consultative Meeting, evaluating its chances of success in achieving this goal.
Can Regional Dynamics Bring a Breakthrough to the Yemeni Crisis?
Position Assessment: This paper explores the international and regional attention towards the Sultanate of Oman’s role in resolving the Yemeni crisis and leading the notable progress it has made. This raises important questions Can Oman’s mediation efforts lead to a stable settlement of the Yemeni crisis? Alternatively, could any agreements reached be temporary compromises that are susceptible to collapse during the first test or tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran?
The Military Confrontations in Sudan are Complicating the Crisis and Exacerbating Its Repercussions
Position Assessment | This assessment examines the turmoil and armed confrontations that erupted in Sudan between the Sudanese army and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), as such events come due to a disagreement over security and military reform, specifically regarding the issue of integrating the RSF into the armed forces.
Alliances and Scenarios: Interpreting the Turkish 2023 Elections
Position Assessment | This assessment discusses the upcoming general elections in Turkey, which are scheduled to take place in mid-May, amidst domestic challenges that have created a complex electoral scene and increased polarization between political forces. The assessment identifies several scenarios regarding the potential outcomes of the upcoming electoral process.
Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh Summits: Seeking Limited Achievements with Future Impact
Position Assessment | This assessment examines the Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh summits in the context of their timing, field data, and proposed objectives. The parties to these summits hope to achieve limited breakthroughs in Palestinian-Israeli relations that can have positive short- and medium-term impact on the political, economic, and security situations in the West Bank.
Chances of Consensus on Sainte-Laguë Electoral System in Iraq
Position Assessment |This Position Assessment examines the controversy surrounding the proposal to adopt the Sainte-Laguë mechanism for the Iraqi Electoral Law. The mechanism was previously used in the 2014 and 2018 elections, but was later stopped by the law implemented in 2020. The assessment assumes that the current political climate in Iraq presents an opportunity for the State Administration Coalition to introduce a new electoral law.