International and Global Trends
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
International and Global Trends
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
International and Global Trends
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
International and Global Trends
Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
International and Global Trends
STRATEGIECS: A 2024 Year-End Message on the Priority of Foresight in a Complex World and a Tightly Interwoven Regional Landscape
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Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
The Israeli- U.S. joint military operation against Iranian targets is still in its early stages, but it is intertwined with the war development in the Gaza Strip, particularly following the direct exchange of attacks in April 2024 and the escalation in October. The military operations were further expanded on June 13, 2025, with Israel launching a military operation against the Iranian capabilities, which was then followed by the U.S. “Operation Midnight Hammer” on June 22, 2025, targeting three nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
The recent talks held in Oman reflect a notable shift in Iran’s negotiating behavior, with Tehran accepting an expansion of the scope of negotiations to include non-nuclear issues that were previously considered red lines. This shift comes amid escalating U.S. military threats, a decline in Iran’s regional influence, and mounting domestic pressures on the regime. While Tehran is likely prepared to make concessions on the nuclear file and its regional engagement, its missile program remains the most complex obstacle, as it constitutes the regime’s last pillar of deterrence.
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
This article examines the unprecedented decision to welcome a former jihadist—long designated as a terrorist by the United States—into the White House. It traces his trajectory from al-Qaeda operative to interim president of Syria, raising urgent questions about a dramatic shift in U.S. foreign policy. The piece challenges readers to consider the consequences of legitimizing a figure whose past is inseparable from decades of extremist violence.
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
This article, published in The New York Times on November 9, 2025, in which the GM of STRATEGIECS Institute examines Ahmed al-Sharaa (known as al-Julani)’s visit to the White House, highlighting the grave implications of this event for regional and strategic security, as well as for the United States itself. It underscores how al-Julani’s background—rooted in global terrorism—and the legitimization of an extremist model of governance achieved through military takeover and disguised as pragmatism represent new instruments for transnational terrorist organizations seeking to undermine the very concept of the nation-state.
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Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape
The regime change that Syria experienced in December 2024 led to a radical—and also chaotic—reordering of the Syrian geopolitical landscape. One of the main questions raised at the time concerned whether Russia would accept the unfolding scenario, abandon its previous allied regime, and face the potential loss of its strategic and vital bases on the Mediterranean coast, which it had long maintained.
STRATEGIECS: A 2024 Year-End Message on the Priority of Foresight in a Complex World and a Tightly Interwoven Regional Landscape
The year 2024 has served as a testing ground to assess the accuracy of the methodologies the STRATEGIECS Institute has developed over the past years, as well as an operational platform to utilize the accumulated expertise of its team. This was particularly evident in their ability to devise results and forecast directions related to various events and issues. The results have been highly promising, both in terms of the pace of research output and the accuracy of predictions.
The Local and Regional Landscape After Hasina’s Resignation in Bangladesh
It’s too early to judge whether stability has been achieved in Bangladesh and whether a new political system has been established following Sheikh Hasina’s resignation and the formation of a temporary government. Moreover, predicting the decline of the parties from the previous phase seems unlikely, especially the Awami League, which has governed the country since the 1970s.
The European Landscape After the Rise of the Left in the UK and France
This paper addresses the result of the elections in France and the United Kingdom and how they will affect future elections in various European countries. It also examines the overall European politics toward the current files.
Zero-Sum Game: Belated Awakening of the 60-Year-Old Munich Security Conference
The 2024 Munich Security coincided with high levels of uncertainty about the future of the international system, developments in the Ukrainian war, the challenges associated with the war in the Gaza Strip, and the relationship between the countries of the North and the South.