International and Global Trends

U.S.- Iran Negotiations: A State of Ambiguity and Uncertainty

The negotiations between the United States and Iran, since the first round in Islamabad, reflect a state of deadlock due to disagreements over core issues such as the nuclear program and mechanisms for ending the war. At the same time, Washington has escalated pressure through a naval blockade and the imposition of sanctions, alongside contradictory statements that have further complicated the situation. Meanwhile, Tehran has employed on-the-ground pressure tools, such as the Strait of Hormuz, reflecting a state of ambiguity and uncertainty, and leaving the trajectory of events open to possibilities that oscillate between de-escalation and escalation.

International and Global Trends

Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses

International and Global Trends

Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup

International and Global Trends

Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house

International and Global Trends

NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House

International and Global Trends

Russia and the Restoration of Strategic Presence in the Changing Syrian Landscape

STRATEGIECS: A 2024 Year-End Message on the Priority of Foresight in a Complex World and a Tightly Interwoven Regional Landscape

The year 2024 has served as a testing ground to assess the accuracy of the methodologies the STRATEGIECS Institute has developed over the past years, as well as an operational platform to utilize the accumulated expertise of its team. This was particularly evident in their ability to devise results and forecast directions related to various events and issues. The results have been highly promising, both in terms of the pace of research output and the accuracy of predictions.

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The Local and Regional Landscape After Hasina’s Resignation in Bangladesh

It’s too early to judge whether stability has been achieved in Bangladesh and whether a new political system has been established following Sheikh Hasina’s resignation and the formation of a temporary government. Moreover, predicting the decline of the parties from the previous phase seems unlikely, especially the Awami League, which has governed the country since the 1970s.

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The European Landscape After the Rise of the Left in the UK and France

This paper addresses the result of the elections in France and the United Kingdom and how they will affect future elections in various European countries. It also examines the overall European politics toward the current files.

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Zero-Sum Game: Belated Awakening of the 60-Year-Old Munich Security Conference

The 2024 Munich Security coincided with high levels of uncertainty about the future of the international system, developments in the Ukrainian war, the challenges associated with the war in the Gaza Strip, and the relationship between the countries of the North and the South.

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Will the G20 Summit Mark a New Turning Point in the Global Order?

A position assessment paper on the latest G20 Summit held in India. The main themes of the paper address contentious issues among the summit parties, such as the Ukrainian crisis, the gradual phasing out of fossil fuels, and debt restructuring. The paper indicates that the summit marked a new turning point both in the relations among its members and in the future of traditional international blocs.

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Niger Coup: Complexities and Geopolitical Implications

A position assessment that addresses the military coup in Niger, the nature of the scenes that preceded and accompanied such a coup, and the subsequent repercussions. The position assessment addresses the possibilities of an African and international response, and the difficulties associated with the overall procedures towards Niger, whether such procedures are peaceful or military.

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Munich Security Conference 2023 and the Crossroads of the Current World Order

Policy Analysis | This analysis discusses the 59th Munich Security Conference, held against the backdrop of several paradoxes at the international level. These paradoxes include the first anniversary of the Ukrainian crisis outbreak, the escalation of tension between China and the United States, the high level of escalation between the two Koreas, and Japan's announcement of a strategic shift in its military doctrine, as well as North Korea's ballistic tests in the surrounding territorial waters of both South Korea and Japan.

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Strategic Motives for Iran's Role in the Ukrainian Crisis

Policy Analysis |This analysis addresses the Iranian role in the Ukrainian crisis, via providing advice to Russia and drones, the matter which raises many questions and inquiries about the nature of the strategic motives behind this Iranian role.