Analyses
Syria: the Future of the State of Uncertainty
The Syrian-Iraqi Border: Reshaping the Geopolitical Space of the Middle East
Op-Ed
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
Op-Ed
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
Syria: the Future of the State of Uncertainty
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
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How Gallant’s Dismissal Affects Israel’s War Management
The dismissal of Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant came at a critical moment, coinciding with Election Day in the United States, the presumed end of the war in Gaza, the start of a new conflict in Lebanon, and a security leaks crisis that led to removing key officials from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office.
A Year Since October 7: Where Did the Region Reach?
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the attacks carried out by Hamas against Israeli settlements and military bases in the Gaza envelope on October 7, 2023. The ideological framework of these attacks was based on a set of political and military foundations that shape Hamas’s vision of the conflict with Israel, as well as the tools and strategies for managing it, considering past experiences and new developments. The paper also addresses the Palestinian landscape and the trajectory of the movement before and after October 7, along with the considerations for the second year of the war.
Beyond Sinwar: Hamas at a Crossroads
The assassination of Yahya Sinwar places Hamas at a crossroads on various organizational, political, and military levels, especially in the context of the ongoing wars in Gaza and Lebanon. It also raises questions about the movement’s role in the aftermath of the war, which could significantly impact its alliances and relations both domestically and internationally.
The Military Operation in Jabalia and Post-War plans
Israel seeks to test a plan that involves a new social engineering of Gaza’s society by creating what it calls “humanitarian bubbles” and contracting private security companies to manage them, which posing a threat of structural changes to the geography and demographics of the Gaza Strip.
The Trajectories of the Israeli Ground Operation in Lebanon
The Israeli ground operation in southern Lebanon is shrouded in ambiguity from both sides. There is a lack of clarity regarding Israel’s objectives, the intended stopping point of its advance, and the next steps in the operation. Additionally, there are uncertainties about the latent capabilities that Hezbollah might employ to increase the costs of this incursion.
Scenarios for Israel’s Anticipated Strike on Iran
The world today is preoccupied with the anticipated Israeli response to recent Iranian attacks, which is expected to be disproportionate and comes with unexpected repercussions, especially after Israel put its response in the frame of strategic objectives.
Nasrallah’s Assassination Puts Hezbollah and the Unification of the arenas in a Critical Moment
The assassination of Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah puts the movement in a critical moment, exacerbating the damage to its military structure. This raises questions about Hezbollah’s position in confrontation with Israel, the Iranian approach toward its most important allies, and the stance of the other parties in the “Unification of the arenas.”
Intelligence Superiority Places the Escalation Between Israel and Hezbollah at a Turning Point
Israeli information and intelligence superiority has contributed to its deadly aim in striking several strategic targets of the Hezbollah Movement, both at its leadership and infrastructure. This paper seeks to analyze the Israeli strategy towards Hezbollah before and after the war in Gaza, which has significantly weakened the Movement’s capabilities and hindered its ability to respond proportionately and escalate in return.
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
The Israeli security and political objectives behind the military operation in the northern West Bank and Jordan Valley are multifaceted and interconnected. These goals are timed to align with confrontations on other fronts, particularly in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon. Extending beyond the Palestinian context, the potential dangers of the situation in the West Bank could also impact Jordan.