The Palestinian–Israeli Conflict
Complications of the Gaza Ceasefire Agreement
The ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip between Hamas and Israel consists of three basic stages, which will end the war that has been waged since October 7, 2023, by graduating the ceasefire from temporary to sustainable during the stages of the agreement. This agreement comes in light of a set of major regional and international variables, which prompted the parties to agree to it.
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The World's Energy Resources
The Outcomes of the Doha Emergency Summit and the Missed Arab Opportunity
Financial Markets and Elon Musk's Tweets
The American-Israeli Proposal and the Shift Towards a Unilateral Path in the Gaza Strip
Operation Iron Wall Similarities in procedures and overlapping objectives between the Gaza Strip and the West Bank
The Geostrategic Competition over the Middle East and the Far East
The Israeli-American track is witnessing a qualitative shift with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff announcing a comprehensive “all or nothing” agreement to end the war in Gaza. The deal includes the release of detainees, the disarmament of Hamas, reconstruction, and the imposition of an international administration led by Washington—a unilateral course that sidelines Hamas from any negotiating role. The deal coincides with an Israeli plan to occupy the Gaza Strip in stages, impose security control, and establish an alternative civilian administration. This approach aims to enforce “day-after” conditions that ensure Israeli objectives are a fait accompli.
Operation Gideon’s Chariots marks an unprecedented Israeli escalation in the Gaza Strip, aimed at dismantling Hamas and redrawing the region’s demographic and military map, amid mounting international and regional pressure. Despite its ambition to end the war, Israel faces internal and external challenges that could turn the operation into a critical turning point: either a decisive resolution, a prolonged war of attrition, or a political breakthrough that brings an end to the ongoing conflict.
The Israeli “Iron Wall” operation in the northern West Bank comes in light of several local, regional, and international developments. It followed two days after the ceasefire in the Gaza Strip came into effect. The timing of this operation raises several questions, including the possibility of its scope expanding to include various areas of the West Bank, especially after being described by Israeli officials as part of a shift in the concept of security in the West Bank.
The assassination of Yahya Sinwar places Hamas at a crossroads on various organizational, political, and military levels, especially in the context of the ongoing wars in Gaza and Lebanon. It also raises questions about the movement’s role in the aftermath of the war, which could significantly impact its alliances and relations both domestically and internationally.
Israel seeks to test a plan that involves a new social engineering of Gaza’s society by creating what it calls “humanitarian bubbles” and contracting private security companies to manage them, which posing a threat of structural changes to the geography and demographics of the Gaza Strip.