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Politics
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Regional Trends
After the Assassination of Khamenei: Scenarios for the Third Supreme Leader
International and Global Trends
Israeli-U.S. Military Operation Scenarios and Iranian Responses
International and Global Trends
Washington and Tehran: Negotiations Under the Hammer of Military Buildup
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The Decision to Ban the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: the Hand of the Law Against Transnational Ideologies
This paper examines the Jordanian government’s decision April 23 to ban the Muslim Brotherhood group in response to growing security concerns following the discovery of affiliated cells planning to threaten Jordan’s national security. It outlines three potential post-ban scenarios: maintaining the ban solely on the group, extending it to include the Islamic Action Front party, or eradicating both entities entirely. The paper also highlights the legal and security challenges associated with each scenario.

The 20th Parliamentary Landscape and Prospects of Political Modernization
This paper presents an analysis of how results of the recent Jordanian parliamentary election will affect the kingdom’s political parties. It proposes a number of scenarios regarding the parliamentary landscape of the 20th council, as well as the trajectory of political modernization.

The Allenby Incident Is Containable but Signals a Continuation of Tension
Repercussions are likely to remain limited on both the security and political levels, as well as on Jordanian-Israeli relations despite its context amid the war in Gaza, the escalation in the West Bank

How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
The Jordanian political parties, established in less than a year, are set to compete in the upcoming parliamentary elections, where they are expected to play a pivotal role that should gradually develop in future elections. This places self-imposed pressures on the parties to keep pace with the modernization process. This paper will explore a range of policies and practices specific to the initial phase of this experience—running for office and reaching the parliament—in a way that avoids pitfalls and mistakes that could obstruct their progress.

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Will the “Response” conference in Jordan overcome the complexity of aid flow and reconstruction?
This position paper addresses the Emergency Humanitarian Response Conference in Gaza, which was held in Jordan. The conference discussed several key areas related to determining the mechanisms of this response and the main aspects of its coordination among the components of the international community.

Biden's Visit to Jordan and Israel Indicates That the Region Is on the Threshold of a Pivotal Transformation
This lens was published earlier to cancel the Quartet Summit in Amman, and this does not affect the analytical contents contained.

Rare and Strategic Elements in Jordan: Opportunities and Challenges
This policy analysis examines Jordan’s efforts to achieve a real transformation in the mining sector by exploring rare and strategic elements of earth. This analysis also discusses the urgent need to expand this sector, and the challenges facing the extraction of these rare elements.

Quid pro quo: Chances of Success for the Amman Consultative Meeting
Position Assessment | On May 1, 2023, the foreign ministers of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, and Syria convened in Amman for an Arab Consultative Meeting to establish a roadmap for Syria’s reintegration into the Arab world. This position assessment offers an analysis of the Amman Consultative Meeting, evaluating its chances of success in achieving this goal.

Is the King’s Visit to Washington an Indicator for Increased Jordanian Influence Coefficient?
Situation assessment | This assessment addresses the influence of Jordanian King Abdullah II’s visit to the United States in early February 2023 on important developments in the region, especially in the Palestinian, Iranian, and Israeli arenas.
