Analyses
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Politics
Real clear world: A former terrorist inside the white house
Politics
NYT: The President and A Former Terrorist Meet at the White House
Politics
The Syrian Unity Predicament: Files of Sovereignty, Security, and the Kurdish Issue
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Trump’s Plan: Second Phase Scenarios
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Alliances and Scenarios: Interpreting the Turkish 2023 Elections
Position Assessment | This assessment discusses the upcoming general elections in Turkey, which are scheduled to take place in mid-May, amidst domestic challenges that have created a complex electoral scene and increased polarization between political forces. The assessment identifies several scenarios regarding the potential outcomes of the upcoming electoral process.
Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh Summits: Seeking Limited Achievements with Future Impact
Position Assessment | This assessment examines the Aqaba and Sharm el-Sheikh summits in the context of their timing, field data, and proposed objectives. The parties to these summits hope to achieve limited breakthroughs in Palestinian-Israeli relations that can have positive short- and medium-term impact on the political, economic, and security situations in the West Bank.
Chances of Consensus on Sainte-Laguë Electoral System in Iraq
Position Assessment |This Position Assessment examines the controversy surrounding the proposal to adopt the Sainte-Laguë mechanism for the Iraqi Electoral Law. The mechanism was previously used in the 2014 and 2018 elections, but was later stopped by the law implemented in 2020. The assessment assumes that the current political climate in Iraq presents an opportunity for the State Administration Coalition to introduce a new electoral law.
“Spearhead” is Getting Ready for the Wars of the Future: U.S Special Forces’ Limits in Contemporary International Conflict.
Strategic assessment | This assessment examines the transformations to the role of U.S. Special Operations Forces, which have declined as asymmetric conflicts have given way to the return of symmetric conflicts in the international strategic environment. The assessment addresses the role of U.S. Special Forces within the framework of new security and defense strategies."
The Regional Situation Following the Restoration of Saudi-Iranian Relations
Policy Analysis | This analysis addresses the announcement of the restoration of Saudi-Iranian relations, sponsored by China, with an emphasis on the underlying motivations of both nations. Additionally, the analysis evaluates the impact of this announcement on the regional situation and its influence on a range of issues in the region.
The Jordanian Initiative: Opportunities to Establish Security in Southern Syria
Policy Analysis | This analysis examines Jordan’s efforts to mobilize international support and an Arab consensus to reach a political solution to the Syrian crisis. The aim is to reduce security threats along Jordan’s northern and eastern borders and strengthen the active Arab role in the Syrian crisis in the face of Iranian influence in the country.
The Potential of the Chinese-Russian Military Alliance and Its Impact on the Indo-Pacific Security Landscape
Strategic Assessment | This assessment focuses on the relationship between Russia and China, specifically examining their military alliance. It highlights their joint military drills conducted in the East China Sea near Japan in 2022. These drills reflect Beijing and Moscow’s shared strategic vision and recognition that reshaping the international system necessitates exerting control over the Western Pacific region.
Diplomacy of Relief and Diplomacy of Disaster: How Countries are Reshaping their Foreign Relations?
Policy Analysis | The analysis shades light on the disaster and relief diplomacy, by providing an explanatory introduction to the two terms, focusing on the concept of disaster diplomacy by reviewing previous experiences, in order to reach an interpretation to the current scene after the recent earthquakes in Turkiye and Syria. Despite how tragic such event was, this analysis examines the extent to which the two countries are able to improve their domestic and foreign reality.
Syrian-Turkish Rapprochement And Geopolitical Scenarios In Northern Syria
Position Assessment | This paper addresses the features of the Syrian-Turkish rapprochement at the intelligence and military levels, and seeks to estimate the transformations in northern Syria by answering the following questions: What are the changes that will take place regarding the military movements in Idlib and the areas of Turkish influence in northern Syria? What is the nature of the changes to the influence of the Kurdish movements in northeast Syria? What are the main challenges that could face the trilateral track between Ankara, Moscow, and Damascus in northern Syria?