Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
Download full reportInternational Relations
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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Iraqʹs Return to the Regional Arena: Possibilities and Opportunities
In light of the development in Iraq in recent years, especially at the level of security, political level, and oil production, and amid transformations in the Arab and regional arenas in the context of Arab-Iranian relations, this report addresses relevant questions; Is it possible for Iraq in the upcoming period to return to its influential role in the balance equation at the Gulf, Arab and regional levels? does it possess the elements needed for this role and the willingness to practice it? What are the obstacles standing in the way of Iraq’s return to the regional and international arenas?
Timeline of Iran's Nuclear File (1957-2019)
This article presents a timeline of the major developments in the Iranian Nuclear file across several stages, from early 1957 until July 21, 2019; it proposes future scenarios and forward-looking insights for the future course of events at the end of the timeline. The article discusses key topics, including the anticipated military confrontation between the U.S. and its allies and Iran; Iran's enhancement of its military and geostrategic capabilities used in its proxy war in the Middle East; and Iran's relationship with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
Sri Lanka Attacks: Terrorism on the Basis of Sectarian and Ethnic Conflict
This article looks into "high-tech" and "advanced" terrorist attacks in Sri Lanka amid internal sectarian divisions and discusses why Sri Lanka is considered an incubating environment for terrorism.
The Geostrategic Competition over the Middle East and the Far East
There are notable signs of rising relative importance of the Far East region compared to the Middle East, which still enjoys a geostrategic advantage in the foreseeable future at least, as it is at the center of global conflicts with major powers competing to increase their presence in this turbulent part of the world; as such, will the Far East replace the Middle East in terms of significance?
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Mergers & Acquisitions: A Strategy to Explore Better Opportunities
Why do we lack multiple economic entities with global reach and operating offices across world's east and west, whereby knowledge and technology are transferred to the Arab world to equip future generations with scientific and practical knowledge? This article explores this question and the concept of Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) and their impact, in addition to presenting real-life examples of companies that arose through M&A transactions.
Analysis Fallacy of the "Lone Wolf"
The notion of "Lone Wolf Attacks" has become widespread, especially after several individual attacks took place across the globe. This analysis attempts to answer questions pertaining to this type of terrorism; the questions address the sort of exaggeration in promoting the attacks of "lone wolf terrorism” and the consequences of such exaggeration, providing a definition of a true single wolf attack, and defining the conditions based on which an attack is labelled as such.
The Rising Powers in the East
While the U.S. strives to reiterate its domination over the current world order, the continuity of such unilateral power, in the long run, is indefinite, given the emerging active international powers that seek to assert their presence in the international arena. Despite this heated competition over international issues, rational cooperation and costs of international conflicts prevent progressing this competition towards direct engagement. As such, this article discusses the future expansion of China, Russia, and India as rising powers and the extent to which such expansion would conflict with the existing balance of powers.
Domination Over Waterways
Maritime security, in its broader sense, is of strategic importance to international powers due to their direct association with energy security. Waterways or straits are considered "choke-points", which are defined in the military strategy as points of congestion for their geographical positioning. Therefore, such points give superiority for whoever controls them. This article examines facts and expectations related to the strategic importance of the Straits of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb since the Middle East oil passes through these two straits into the world markets, while also passing through the Cape of Good Hope, the Strait of Malacca, Indonesian straits, and the Suez Canal.
The Success Chances of an "Arab NATO"
Forming an Arab NATO would be a challenge for member states and countries that sponsor it. Although forming this cooperation has become necessary to protect Arab national security and to defend common Arab national interests, agreeing on such a massive unified military project is not an easy decision. This article responds to questions regarding the success of this project, its effect on the Middle East stability, and potential challenges it could face.