Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
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Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
The Israeli security and political objectives behind the military operation in the northern West Bank and Jordan Valley are multifaceted and interconnected. These goals are timed to align with confrontations on other fronts, particularly in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon. Extending beyond the Palestinian context, the potential dangers of the situation in the West Bank could also impact Jordan.
What Are the Chances of Success for the New Round of Negotiations to End the War in the Gaza Strip?
The chances of success for the new round of negotiations to end the war in Gaza do not seem very high, at least when it comes to reaching a comprehensive agreement. However, the American insistence on continuing the negotiations, along with the seriousness of the Egyptian and Qatari mediators, may push the warring parties towards an agreement on a temporary humanitarian ceasefire.
Palestinian Individual Operations Since the Outbreak of War in the Gaza Strip
This paper provides a first-of-its-kind analytical reading of individual operations in the West Bank, Jerusalem, and Israel to expand the understanding of these incidents. It also examines their frequency, types, and scope during the war in the Gaza Strip, and compare them with previous years since they became a case study in 2015
The Rafah Crossing: Who Will Control It and Why It’s Important
The Rafah border crossing gains its significance on the world stage from being the only gateway into and out of the Gaza Strip for both its citizens and the delivery of life-saving goods and humanitarian aid. This paper presents future scenarios for the management of the crossing, which could be an issue with the arrangements for the day after the war or what may be proposed for implementation beforehand that will serve as a prelude to the future management structure of the Gaza Strip.
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Palestinian Rights: Israel Versus the World
The International Court of Justice’s advisory opinion on the illegality of the Israeli presence in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967 provides a foundation for the growing political and legal movement within the international community regarding the Palestinian cause. However, it also faces challenges due to Israeli action and divisions within the Palestinian arena.
Israeli War Cabinet Scenarios Following Gantz’s Resignation Warning
Disputes within Israel’s war cabinet raise several questions about the impact political parties will have on the future of the cabinet, its unity, existence, and, more broadly, on the future of the Israeli government. The war cabinet and the government of Israel have become significantly tied to the war variables in Gaza and the positions of the actors involved, foremost of which is the United States. This ushers in three scenarios for the future of the war cabinet: it will carry on its work, it will dissolve while the coalition government remains, or it will dissolve leading to early elections.
Have the Costs of the War in Gaza Become a Factor in Stopping It?
Aside from considering the achievements perceived by the parties involved in the Israel-Hamas war, the losses and risks associated with its continuation have become a factor in increasing the chances of reaching a ceasefire agreement. Therefore, a range of future scenarios should be taken into account.
The Changing American Position on Israeli Government’s Management of The War in The Gaza Strip
The disagreements between the American administration and the Israeli government regarding the war in the Gaza Strip are a continuation of the apparent contradictions in the visions and policies between the two parties since the formation of the Israeli government at the end of December 2022, which U.S. President Joe Biden described as “the most right-wing in the history of Israel.” It is likely that these disagreements will continue between the two parties regarding their priorities during the coming period, but the deepening of this disagreement into the structure of the bilateral relations is unlikely.