Analyses
Politics
The Paths of political Presence of Hamas Movement in Qatar
The choices of Hamas leaders to move from Qatar remain ambiguous and are limited to specific destinations: either Turkey, Iran, Lebanon, or Algeria. The question is: Which one is most likely—amd most preferred—to host Hamas leaders?
International Relations
Sudan: The Country Hijacked by Islamists and Targeted for Burial by Iran
International Relations
Pezeshkian in Iraq: Political Maneuver or Strategic Visit?
Jordanian Affairs
How Can Jordanian Political Parties Overcome the Pressures They Face?
Palestinian-Israeli conflict
How Can Israel’s “Summer Camps” Operation in the Northern West Bank Be Interpreted?
Politics
Will the Presidency of Masoud Pezeshkian Change Iran’s Domestic and Foreign Policies?
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Saudi-China Relations From the Perspective of Political Economy and Energy Geopolitics
This analysis deals with Saudi-China relations from the perspective of political economy and geopolitics of energy. It touches on the rapid growth between the two countries in various fields, the latest of which was Riyadh hosting the 10th Arab-Chinese Business Conference nearly six months after China’s president held three summits with leaders from Saudi Arabia and the Gulf and Arab countries.
What does the Development of the Palestinian Armed Factions’ Capabilities Reflect?
This assessment deals with the development of the military capabilities of the Palestinian armed factions in the West Bank. A growth in the military infrastructure of these factions may be related to attempts by non-West Bank parties to achieve a new deterrence reality against Israel.
What If Iran Had the Nuclear Bomb?
Policy Analysis | This paper deals with the scenario of Iran becoming a nuclear state. Many estimates indicate that Tehran is close to crossing the nuclear threshold for military purposes. This analysis investigates two views, one sees Iran’s possession of a nuclear weapon as a condition that can be tolerated, while the other sees that Iran constitutes a model of an expansionist state that is hard to be lenient towards regarding the possibility of its possession of a nuclear weapon.
Another Round of Escalation to Change the Equation of the “Integration of Arenas”
This paper discusses the recent escalation between the Al-Jihad al-Islami and Israel, which ended with the announcement of a ceasefire between the two parties on May 13. The paper also examines the “integration of arenas” strategy launched by the Al-Jihad al-Islami in mid-May 2021, as well as Israel’s efforts to dismantle this strategy by adopting a “disintegration of arenas” strategy.
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Quid pro quo: Chances of Success for the Amman Consultative Meeting
Position Assessment | On May 1, 2023, the foreign ministers of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, and Syria convened in Amman for an Arab Consultative Meeting to establish a roadmap for Syria’s reintegration into the Arab world. This position assessment offers an analysis of the Amman Consultative Meeting, evaluating its chances of success in achieving this goal.
Can Regional Dynamics Bring a Breakthrough to the Yemeni Crisis?
Position Assessment: This paper explores the international and regional attention towards the Sultanate of Oman’s role in resolving the Yemeni crisis and leading the notable progress it has made. This raises important questions Can Oman’s mediation efforts lead to a stable settlement of the Yemeni crisis? Alternatively, could any agreements reached be temporary compromises that are susceptible to collapse during the first test or tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran?
The Military Confrontations in Sudan are Complicating the Crisis and Exacerbating Its Repercussions
Position Assessment | This assessment examines the turmoil and armed confrontations that erupted in Sudan between the Sudanese army and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), as such events come due to a disagreement over security and military reform, specifically regarding the issue of integrating the RSF into the armed forces.
Alliances and Scenarios: Interpreting the Turkish 2023 Elections
Position Assessment | This assessment discusses the upcoming general elections in Turkey, which are scheduled to take place in mid-May, amidst domestic challenges that have created a complex electoral scene and increased polarization between political forces. The assessment identifies several scenarios regarding the potential outcomes of the upcoming electoral process.
Emirates and Syria: A Relationship that May Redraw the Future of the Region
Syria represents the region’s past strengths and the UAE its present influence; by working together they can secure the region’s future.